United States v. Duarte

Full title: UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, Plaintiff-Appellee, v. STEVEN DUARTE, AKA…

Court: United States Court of Appeals, Ninth Circuit

Date published: May 9, 2024

101 F.4th 657 (9th Cir. 2024)

Opinion

No.22-50048

05-09-2024

UNITED STATES of America, Plaintiff-Appellee, v. Steven DUARTE, aka Shorty, Defendant-Appellant.

Suria M. Bahadue (argued) and Juan M. Rodriguez, Assistant United States Attorneys; Kyle Kahan, Special Assistant United States Attorney; Bram M. Alden, Assistant United States Attorney, Criminal Appeals Section Chief; E. Martin Estrada, United States Attorney; United States Department of Justice, Office of the United States Attorney, Criminal Appeals Section, Los Angeles, California; for Plaintiff-Appellee. Sonam A. H. Henderson, Assistant Federal Public Defender; Cuauhtemoc Ortega, Federal Public Defender; Federal Public Defender's Office, Los Angeles, California, for Defendant-Appellant.

BEA, Circuit Judge

Appeal from the United States District Court for the Central District of California, Andre Birotte, Jr., District Judge, Presiding, D.C. No. 2:20-cr-00387-AB-1 Suria M. Bahadue (argued) and Juan M. Rodriguez, Assistant United States Attorneys; Kyle Kahan, Special Assistant United States Attorney; Bram M. Alden, Assistant United States Attorney, Criminal Appeals Section Chief; E. Martin Estrada, United States Attorney; United States Department of Justice, Office of the United States Attorney, Criminal Appeals Section, Los Angeles, California; for Plaintiff-Appellee. Sonam A. H. Henderson, Assistant Federal Public Defender; Cuauhtemoc Ortega, Federal Public Defender; Federal Public Defender's Office, Los Angeles, California, for Defendant-Appellant. Before: Carlos T. Bea, Milan D. Smith, Jr., and Lawrence VanDyke, Circuit Judges. Opinion by Judge Bea; Dissent by Judge M. Smith, Jr.

OPINION

BEA, Circuit Judge:

18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1) makes it a crime for any person to possess a firearm if he has been convicted of an offense "punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year." Steven Duarte, who has five prior non-violent state criminal convictions—all punishable for more than a year—was charged and convicted under § 922(g)(1) after police saw him toss a handgun out of the window of a moving car. Duarte now challenges the constitutionality of his conviction. He argues that, under the Supreme Court's recent decision in New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass'n v. Bruen, 597 U.S. 1, 142 S.Ct. 2111, 213 L.Ed.2d 387 (2022), § 922(g)(1) violates the Second Amendment as applied to him, a non-violent offender who has served his time in prison and reentered society. We agree.

We reject the Government's position that our pre-Bruen decision in United States v. Vongxay, 594 F.3d 1111 (9th Cir. 2010), forecloses Duarte's Second Amendment challenge. Vongxay is clearly irreconcilable with Bruen and therefore no longer controls because Vongxay held that § 922(g)(1) comported with the Second Amendment without applying the mode of analysis that Bruen later established and now requires courts to perform. Bruen instructs us to assess all Second Amendment challenges through the dual lenses of text and history. If the Second Amendment's plain text protects the person, his arm, and his proposed course of conduct, it then becomes the Government's burden to prove that the challenged law is consistent with this Nation's historical tradition of firearm regulation. Vongxay did not apply these two analytical steps because Bruen had not yet established them. We must therefore reconsider § 922(g)(1)'s constitutionality, this time applying Bruen's two-step, text-and-history framework.

At step one of Bruen, we easily conclude that Duarte's weapon, a handgun, is an "arm" within the meaning of the Second Amendment's text and that Duarte's "proposed course of conduct—carrying [a] handgun[ ] publicly for self-defense"—falls within the Second Amendment's plain language, two points the Government never disputes. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 32, 142 S.Ct. 2111. The Government argues only that "the people" in the Second Amendment excludes felons like Duarte because they are not members of the "virtuous" citizenry. We do not share that view. Bruen and Heller foreclose that argument because both recognized the "strong presumption" that the text of the Second Amendment confers an individual right to keep and bear arms that belongs to "all Americans," not an "unspecified subset." Bruen, 597 U.S. at 70, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (quoting District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783, 171 L.Ed.2d 637 (2008)). Our own analysis of the Second Amendment's publicly understood meaning also confirms that the right to keep and bear arms was every citizen's fundamental right. Because Duarte is an American citizen, he is "part of 'the people' whom the Second Amendment protects." Bruen, 597 U.S. at 32, 142 S.Ct. 2111.

At Bruen's second step, we conclude that the Government has failed to prove that § 922(g)(1)'s categorical prohibition, as applied to Duarte, "is part of the historical tradition that delimits the outer bounds of the" Second Amendment right. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 19, 142 S.Ct. 2111. The Government put forward no "well-established and representative historical analogue" that "impose[d] a comparable burden on the right of armed self-defense" that was "comparably justified" as compared to § 922(g)(1)'s sweeping, no-exception, lifelong ban. Id. at 29, 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111. We therefore vacate Duarte's conviction and reverse the district court's judgment entering the same.

I.

On the night of March 20, 2020, two Inglewood police officers noticed a red Infiniti auto drive past them with tinted front windows. The officers turned around and trailed the car for a time before seeing it run a stop sign. When they activated their patrol lights, one of the officers saw the rear passenger (later identified as Duarte) roll the window down and toss out a handgun. The Infiniti drove about a block farther before stopping.

The officers approached the vehicle, removed Duarte and the driver from the car, and handcuffed them. A search of the car's interior recovered a loaded magazine wedged between the center console and front passenger seat. A third officer arrived at the scene and searched the immediate area, where he found the discarded handgun—a .380 caliber Smith & Wesson—with its magazine missing. One of the officers loaded the magazine into the recovered pistol, and it fit "perfectly."

A federal grand jury indicted Duarte for possessing a firearm while knowing he had been previously convicted of "a crime punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year," in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1). The indictment referenced Duarte's five prior, non-violent criminal convictions in California: vandalism, Cal. Penal Code § 594(a); felon in possession of a firearm, id. § 29800(a)(1); possession of a controlled substance, Cal. Health & Safety Code § 11351.5; and two convictions for evading a peace officer, Cal. Veh. Code § 2800.2.¹ Each of these convictions carried a possible sentence of one year or more in prison.

1 In the proceedings below, the Government conceded in pre-trial briefing that "none of [Duarte's] prior convictions [we]re violent." And neither Duarte's indictment, nor the pre-sentencing report prepared after his conviction, alleged that Duarte's predicate offenses involved violence.

Duarte pleaded not guilty to the charge in the indictment. His case proceeded to trial, a jury found him guilty, and he received a below-guidelines sentence of 51 months in prison. He timely appealed and now challenges his conviction under the Second Amendment. We have jurisdiction under 18 U.S.C. § 3742(a) and 28 U.S.C. § 1291.

II.

We normally review claims of constitutional violations de novo. United States v. Oliver, 41 F.4th 1093, 1097 (9th Cir. 2022). But because Duarte did not challenge § 922(g)(1) on Second Amendment grounds in the district court below, the Government argues that Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 52(b)'s more demanding plain error standard of review controls. Id. ("A plain error that affects substantial rights may be considered even though it was not brought to the court's attention."). We disagree.

It is true that Rule 52(b)'s plain error standard "is the default standard governing . . . consideration of issues not properly raised in the district court" and thus "ordinarily applies when a party presents an issue for the first time on appeal." United States v. Guerrero, 921 F.3d 895, 897 (9th Cir. 2019). But when the untimely issue is a Rule 12(b)(3) "defense[ ]" or "objection[ ]" to a criminal indictment, "Rule 12's good-cause standard . . . displac[es] the plain-error standard" under Rule 52(b). Id.; see Fed. R. Crim. P. 12(b)(4)(B)(c)(1) ("[A] court may consider the [untimely] defense, objection, or request if the party shows good cause."). If the defendant demonstrates good cause for failing to raise the Rule 12(b)(3) issue below, we may consider it for the first time and will apply whatever default standard of review would normally govern the merits, which in this case is de novo review. See United States v. Aguilera-Rios, 769 F.3d 626, 629 (9th Cir. 2014).

No one disputes here that Duarte's Second Amendment challenge is untimely because he could have raised it as a Rule 12(b)(3) defense or objection to his indictment. Duarte, however, demonstrated good cause for asserting his constitutional claim now instead of then. When Duarte was indicted, he "had no reason to challenge" whether § 922(g)(1) violated the Second Amendment as applied to him. Aguilera-Rios, 769 F.3d at 630. We had already held in Vongxay "that § 922(g)(1) does not violate the Second Amendment as it applies to . . . convicted felon[s]." 594 F.3d at 1118. Only later did the Supreme Court decide Bruen, which (for reasons we explain just below) is irreconcilable with Vongxay's reasoning and renders it no longer controlling in this Circuit. Because Vongxay "foreclosed the argument [Duarte] now makes," Duarte had good cause for not raising it in a Rule 12(b)(3) pretrial motion. Aguilera-Rios, 769 F.3d at 630. We may consider his challenge for the first time and will review it de novo.

III.

A.

We must first decide whether Bruen abrogated our decision in United States v. Vongxay. We follow our decision in Miller v. Gammie to answer that question. 335 F.3d 889 (9th Cir. 2003). Under Miller, "where the reasoning or theory of [a] prior circuit authority is clearly irreconcilable with the reasoning or theory of intervening higher authority," we are "bound by the later and controlling authority" and "reject the prior circuit opinion as . . . effectively overruled." Id. at 893 (emphasis added). This is a more "flexible approach" than what other circuits use. Id. at 899. To abrogate a prior decision of ours under Miller, the intervening authority need only be "closely related" to the prior circuit precedent and need not "expressly overrule" its holding. Compare id., with United States v. Dubois, 94 F.4th 1284, 1293 (11th Cir. 2024) (intervening authority must be "clearly on point" and must "demolish and eviscerate each of [the prior decision's] fundamental props") (citations omitted). So long as the "the Supreme Court ha[s] taken an 'approach [in an area of law] that [is] fundamentally inconsistent with the reasoning of our earlier circuit authority,[']" Rodriguez v. AT&T Mobility Services LLC, 728 F.3d 975, 979 (9th Cir. 2013) (quoting Miller, 335 F.3d at 889, 990), that "[i]s enough to render them" irreconcilable with one another, Langere v. Verizon Wireless Services, LLC, 983 F.3d 1115, 1121 (9th Cir. 2020) (citations omitted).

As a result, "[e]ver since . . . Miller v. Gammie[,] . . . we have not hesitated to overrule our own precedents when their underlying reasoning could not be squared with the Supreme Court's more recent pronouncements." In re Nichols, 10 F.4th 956, 962 (9th Cir. 2021). We have found the standard met in the obvious cases, such as when a later Supreme Court decision implicitly (but not expressly) overrules an earlier precedent of ours because the supervening authority fundamentally reshapes an area of law by announcing a new or clarified analytical framework that the earlier decision never applied. See United States v. Slade, 873 F.3d 712, 715 (9th Cir. 2017); see also, e.g., United States v. Baldon, 956 F.3d 1115, 1121 (9th Cir. 2020) ("[The Supreme Court's] clarification [in Stokeling] of 'violent force' . . . is 'clearly irreconcilable' with . . . [Solorio-Ruiz v. Sessions, 881 F.3d 733 (9th Cir. 2018)'s] . . . analytical distinction between substantial and minimal force. This distinction no longer exists."); Phelps v. Alameida, 569 F.3d 1120, 1133 (9th Cir. 2009) (holding previous per se rule for rejecting Rule 60(b)(6) motions based on intervening change in law was irreconcilable with Supreme Court's "case-by-case approach"); Swift v. California, 384 F.3d 1184, 1190 (9th Cir. 2004). So too have we invoked Miller when the affirmative reasons for a previous panel decision "necessarily rested on at least one assumption that is clearly irreconcilable with intervening higher authority." Ortega-Mendez v. Gonzales, 450 F.3d 1010, 1020 (9th. Cir. 2006) (emphasis added); see Lair v. Bullock, 798 F.3d 736, 746 (9th Cir. 2015) ("Because [Montana Right to Life Ass'n v. ]Eddleman[, 343 F.3d 1085 (9th Cir. 2003)] relied at least in part on a state's interest in combating 'influence,' whereas Citizens United[ v. Federal Election Com'n, 558 U.S. 310, 130 S.Ct. 876, 175 L.Ed.2d 753 (2010) narrowed the analysis . . . to exclude th[at] state[ ] interest . . . Citizens United abrogated Eddleman's . . . analysis.") (citing Miller, 335 F.3d at 893) (emphasis added). Thus, while Miller's "clearly irreconcilable" test may be a "high" standard, by no means is it an "insurmountable" one. Langere, 983 F.3d at 1121.

With these principles in mind, we conclude that Vongxay's reasoning is "clearly irreconcilable" with Bruen and its holding therefore no longer controls. Miller, 335 F.3d at 893. Vongxay did not follow the textually and historically focused "mode of analysis" that Bruen established and required courts now to apply to all Second Amendment challenges. Id. at 900 ("[L]ower courts a[re] bound not only by the holdings of higher courts' decisions but also by their 'mode of analysis.' ") (quoting Antonin Scalia, The Rule of Law as a Law of Rules, 56 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1175, 1177 (1989)); see, e.g., Slade, 873 F.3d at 715 ("Since Jennen failed to consider whether section 9A.36.021 is divisible . . . the decision's reasoning is 'clearly irreconcilable' with the analytical process [later] prescribed by [the Supreme Court in] Descamps[ v. United States, 570 U.S. 254, 133 S.Ct. 2276, 186 L.Ed.2d 438 (2013)] and Mathis[ v. United States, 579 U.S. 500, 136 S.Ct. 2243, 195 L.Ed.2d 604 (2016)].") (citing Miller, 335 F.3d at 893). Nor do Vongxay's affirmative bases for upholding § 922(g)(1) salvage Vongxay's holding. We must therefore conduct our Second Amendment analysis of § 922(g)(1) anew, this time following Bruen's analytical framework.

1.

Before Bruen, virtually every circuit (ours included) "coalesced around a 'two-step' framework for analyzing Second Amendment challenges." Bruen, 597 U.S. at 17, 142 S.Ct. 2111; see, e.g., United States v. Chovan, 735 F.3d 1127, 1136-37 (9th Cir. 2013). At the first step, we asked whether the challenged law affected conduct historically protected by the Second Amendment. E.g., Young v. Hawaii, 992 F.3d 765, 783-84 (9th Cir. 2021) (en banc), vacated, — U.S. —, 142 S. Ct. 2895, 213 L. Ed. 2d 1108 (2022). If it did, we moved to the second step, where we applied varying levels of scrutiny to the challenged law, depending on how close the regulated conduct lay to the "core" of the Second Amendment right to "keep and bear arms." Id.

"Bruen effected a sea change in Second Amendment law" by replacing this tiers-of-scrutiny framework with one grounded exclusively in text and history. Maryland Shall Issue, Inc. v. Moore, 86 F.4th 1038, 1041 (4th Cir. 2023), rehearing en banc granted, 86 F.4th 1038 (4th Cir. 2024). Courts must now consider, as a "threshold inquiry," United States v. Alaniz, 69 F.4th 1124, 1128 (9th Cir. 2023), whether "the Second Amendment's plain text covers" the person challenging the law, the "arm" involved, and the person's "proposed course of conduct," Bruen, 597 U.S. at 17, 142 S.Ct. 2111. If the Second Amendment's "bare text" covers the person, his arm, and his conduct, "the government must [then] demonstrate that the [challenged] regulation is consistent with this Nation's historical tradition of firearm regulation." Id. at 18, 44 n.11, 142 S.Ct. 2111. To meet its burden, the Government must "identify a well-established and representative historical analogue" to the challenged law. Id. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (emphasis in original). As to courts, "th[e] historical inquiry that [we] must [now] conduct" requires "reasoning by analogy," in which the two "central considerations" will be whether "how" the proffered historical analogue burdened the Second Amendment right, and "why" it did so, are both sufficiently comparable to the challenged regulation. Id. at 28, 29, 142 S.Ct. 2111. "Only if" the Government proves that its "firearm regulation is consistent [in this sense] with th[e] Nation's historical tradition may a court conclude that the individual's conduct falls outside the Second Amendment's 'unqualified command.' " Id. at 17, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (citations omitted).

Because Bruen "had not yet clarified the[se] particular analytical step[s]" until after Vongxay was decided, Vongxay, predictably, failed to apply them. See Slade, 873 F.3d at 715. Unlike post-Bruen circuit cases to consider § 922(g)(1)'s constitutionality, Vongxay did not grapple with the "threshold [textual] inquiry . . . whether [Vongxay] [wa]s part of 'the people' whom the Second Amendment protects," whether "the weapon at issue" was an "arm" within the meaning of the Second Amendment, or "whether the 'proposed course of conduct' f[ell] within the Second Amendment['s]" plain language. See Alaniz, 69 F.4th at 1128 (quoting Bruen, 597 U.S. at 31-32, 142 S.Ct. 2111); see also, e.g., Range v. Attorney General, 69 F.4th 96, 101 (3d Cir. 2023) ("We begin with the threshold question: whether Range is one of 'the people' who have Second Amendment rights."). As a result, Vongxay never decided whether to proceed to Bruen's second step, which would have required the Government to prove that § 922(g)(1)'s lifetime ban on felons possessing firearms imposed a "comparable burden" on the Second Amendment right that was "comparably justified" compared to historical examples of firearm regulations—the "how and why" of Bruen's "analogical inquiry." 597 U.S. at 29, 142 S.Ct. 2111; compare United States v. Jackson, 69 F.4th 495, 501-06 (8th Cir. 2023) (surveying historical examples and concluding § 922(g)(1) comported with this Nation's history of firearm regulation), with Range, 69 F.3d at 103-06 (surveying the same history but concluding the opposite).

The dissent does not dispute that Vongxay never performed the textual "person," "arms," and "conduct" analysis at Bruen's first step, nor the historically focused "reasoning by analogy" approach required at Bruen's step two. But none of these omissions should matter, the dissent argues, because Heller read the Second Amendment's "the people" as "exclu[ding] . . . felons" and Bruen "implicitly endorsed" that reading when it made the (unremarkable) observation that the petitioners in that case—two "ordinary, law-abiding, adult citizens"—were indisputably "part of 'the people.' " 597 U.S. at 31, 142 S.Ct. 2111; Dissent at 693, 695. So there is "harmon[y]" between Bruen and Vongxay after all. Dissent at 693-94.

The dissent's post-hoc reading of Bruen and Heller finds no support in either case. The Supreme Court "has never suggested that felons are not among 'the people' within the plain meaning of the Second Amendment." United States v. Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th 1166, 1175 (9th Cir. 2024) (emphasis added). Quite the opposite, Heller defined "the people" in the broadest of terms: the phrase "unambiguously refer[red]" to "all Americans," not "an unspecified subset." 554 U.S. at 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783. More importantly, Bruen ratified that broad definition, quoting Heller's language directly to hold that "[t]he Second Amendment guarantee[s] to 'all Americans' the right to bear commonly used arms in public." 597 U.S. at 70, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783) (emphasis added).

In sum, Vongxay's wholesale omission of Bruen's two-step methodology is "clearly irreconcilable" with Bruen's "mode of analysis" for analyzing Second Amendment challenges. Miller, 335 F.3d at 900. We would be remiss, however, to ignore Vongxay's affirmative reasons for upholding § 922(g)(1). We do that below. Because Vongxay's rationale "rested on . . . at least one assumption" about the propriety of felon firearm bans, none of which continue to have any purchase in a post-Bruen world, this is a separate basis for parting ways with Vongxay under Miller v. Gammie. See Ortega-Mendez, 450 F.3d at 1020.

2.

Vongxay concluded that § 922(g)(1) comported with the Second Amendment because that was what we held in United States v. Younger, 398 F.3d 1179, 1192 (9th Cir. 2005). Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1116. But "[t]he reasoning upon which Younger was based—that the Second Amendment does not give individuals a right to bear arms—was invalidated by Heller," id. (emphasis added), and again by Bruen, which expressly reaffirmed Heller's holding that "the Second Amendment[ ] . . . 'guarantees the individual right to possess and carry weapons in case of confrontation,' " 597 U.S. at 33, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (emphasis added) (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 592, 128 S.Ct. 2783). Vongxay's reliance on Younger is therefore "clearly irreconcilable" with Bruen—separate and apart from Vongxay's failure to apply Bruen's methodology. See Murray v. Mayo Clinic, 934 F.3d 1101, 1105-06 (9th Cir. 2019).

While concluding that "Younger control[led]" and the "legal inquiry end[ed]" with that case, Vongxay also turned to two Fifth Circuit, pre-Heller decisions—United States v. Everist, 368 F.3d 517 (5th Cir. 2004) and United States v. Emerson, 270 F.3d 203 (5th Cir. 2001)—which purportedly "len[t] credence to the . . . viability of Younger's holding" in a post-Heller (but pre-Bruen) world. Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1116, 1117. Vongxay endorsed, specifically, Everist's holding that § 922(g)(1) was constitutional "as a 'limited and narrowly tailored exception to the freedom to possess firearms, reasonable in its purposes and consistent with the right to bear arms.' " Id. at 1116-17 (quoting Everist, 368 F.3d at 519 (quoting Emerson, 270 F.3d at 261)). This was "particularly instructive for [a] post-Heller analys[is]" of § 922(g)(1), Vongxay reasoned, because the Fifth Circuit had recognized, "even before Heller," that the right to keep and bear arms was an individual right, and yet still determined that "felon [firearm] restrictions" were "permissible . . . under heightened scrutiny." 594 F.3d at 1117 (citing Everist, 368 F.3d at 519).

Vongxay's dependence on Emerson and Everist is untenable post-Bruen. "Emerson applied heightened—i.e., intermediate—scrutiny" to uphold a different law—18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(8)—against a Second Amendment challenge.² United States v. McGinnis, 956 F.3d 747, 759-60 (5th Cir. 2020). Relying exclusively on Emerson, Everist applied the same "means-end" scrutiny approach to § 922(g)(1) and similarly held that law was a "narrowly tailored" and "reasonable" regulation on the Second Amendment right. Everist, 368 F.3d at 519 (quoting Emerson, 270 F.3d at 261). Bruen, as we know, "expressly repudiated the . . . means-end scrutiny . . . embodied in Emerson" and Everist. See United States v. Rahimi, 61 F.4th 443, 450 (5th Cir. 2023), cert. granted, — U.S. —, 143 S. Ct. 2688, 216 L.E.2d 1255 (2023). Thus, as with Younger, Everist's reasoning—and the reasoning of the precedent on which it stood (Emerson)—were abrogated by Bruen. Vongxay's reliance on these cases is clearly irreconcilable with Bruen. See Murray, 934 F.3d at 1105-06.

2 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(8) ("It shall be unlawful for any person [to possess a firearm] . . . who is subject to a court order that . . . restrains such person from harassing, stalking, or threatening an intimate partner of such person or child of such intimate partner or person, or engaging in other conduct that would place an intimate partner in reasonable fear of bodily injury to the partner or child.").

The Government and the dissent remind us repeatedly that, while Vongxay relied on Everist and Emerson, Vongxay never itself applied the now defunct means-end scrutiny approach to uphold § 922(g)(1). Dissent at 693-94. That counts for little under Miller and its progeny because when, as here, the prior circuit decision in question imports the reasoning of a previous case by citing it with approval, we ask simply whether that earlier case's reasoning is "clearly irreconcilable" with subsequent higher authority. See id. ("In Head[ v. Glacier Northwest Inc., 413 F.3d 1053 (9th Cir. 2005)], we relied on the reasoning of our sister circuits . . . [but] Gross[ v. FBL Financial Services, Inc., 557 U.S. 167, 129 S.Ct. 2343, 174 L.Ed.2d 119 (2009)] and [University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center v. ]Nassar[, 570 U.S. 338, 133 S.Ct. 2517, 186 L.Ed.2d 503 (2013)] undercut the reasoning set forth by our sister circuits [in those cases]."). What matters is that Vongxay still endorsed the Fifth Circuit's application of means-end scrutiny to § 922(g)(1) because it cited Everist for the proposition "that, although there is an individual right to bear arms, felon restrictions are permissible even under heightened scrutiny." Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1117 (emphasis added) (citing Everist, 368 F.3d at 519).

Vongxay lastly took comfort in the Heller Court's remark that "nothing in [its] opinion should be taken to cast doubt" on certain "longstanding" laws restricting the Second Amendment right, such as laws "prohibit[ing] . . . the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill." Heller, 554 U.S. at 626, 128 S.Ct. 2783. In a footnote, Heller labeled these and other examples as "presumptively lawful." Id. n.26. Vongxay took this to mean that felon firearm bans were "categorically different" from other restrictions on the Second Amendment right, which "buttressed" the conclusion that § 922(g)(1) was constitutional. 594 F.3d at 1115, 1116.

"Simply repeat[ing] Heller's language" about the "presumptive[ ] lawful[ness]" of felon firearm bans will no longer do after Bruen. See Pena v. Lindley, 898 F.3d 969, 1007 n.18 (9th Cir. 2018) (Bybee, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part) (citing Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1115). Bruen expressly "require[s] courts to assess whether" § 922(g)(1), id. at 26, 142 S.Ct. 2111, like "any regulation infringing on Second Amendment rights[,] is consistent with this nation's historical tradition of firearm regulation," Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1175 (citations omitted). It would pay lip service to this mandate if we continued to defer (as Vongxay did) to Heller's footnote, not least because the historical pedigree of felon firearm bans was never an issue the Heller Court purported to resolve. While referring to such laws and others as "longstanding," the Court "fail[ed] to cite any colonial analogues," Heller, 554 U.S. at 721, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (Breyer, J., dissenting), and clarified that it was "not providing [an] extensive historical justification" for felon firearm bans because Heller was its "first in-depth examination of the Second Amendment," not an attempt "to clarify the entire field," id. at 635, 128 S.Ct. 2783. "[T]here w[ould] be time enough to expound upon the historical justifications for [these and other] exceptions," Heller promised, "if and when th[ey] . . . come before us." Id.; see also Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1117 n.4 (acknowledging Heller "anticipated the need for such historical analy[is]"). The Court has yet to explore this country's history of banning felons from possessing firearms.³ Until then, we can no longer "assum[e]," by way of Heller's footnoted caveat, the "propriety of [every] felon firearm ban" that comes before us. See United States v. Phillips, 827 F.3d 1171, 1175 (9th Cir. 2016). "Nothing allows us to sidestep Bruen in th[is] way."⁴ Atkinson v. Garland, 70 F.4th 1018, 1022 (7th Cir. 2023); see also Baird v. Bonta, 81 F.4th 1036, 1043 (9th Cir. 2023) ("Bruen clarified the appropriate legal framework to apply when a . . . statute [is challenged] under the Second Amendment.").

3 When that day comes, perhaps the Court will also clarify how far back felon firearm prohibitions must stretch to qualify as "longstanding." We are confident, however, that anything postdating the 19th century is not what the Court has in mind. See, e.g., Bruen, 597 U.S. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (discussing Heller's reference to "longstanding" laws "forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places" and concluding that such laws consisted of a limited set of "18th-and 19th-century" regulations prohibiting firearms in "schools and government buildings"); Joseph G.S. Greenlee, Disarming the Dangerous: The American Tradition of Firearm Prohibitions, 16 Drexel L. Rev. 1, 73 (2024) (determining that "Founding era history is paramount" because, as the Court recognized in Bruen, "not all history is created equal" and "[c]onstitutional rights are enshrined with the scope they were understood to have when the people adopted them").

4 Even before Bruen, we were uncomfortable with Vongxay's reliance on Heller's "presumptively lawful" footnote. In United States v. Phillips, we upheld a defendant's § 922(g)(1) conviction against a Second Amendment challenge because Vongxay's reading of Heller's footnote "foreclose[d]" the defendant's constitutional claim. 827 F.3d at 1174. "Nevertheless, there [we]re good reasons to be skeptical of the constitutional correctness" of Vongxay's deference to Heller's footnote. Id. "Heller's caveat endorsed only 'longstanding' regulations on firearms, naming felon bans in the process," and "[y]et courts and scholars are divided over how 'longstanding' tho[se] bans really are." Id.; see also id. at n.2 (collecting sources). Even Vongxay conceded that this "historical question ha[d] not been definitively resolved." 594 F.3d at 1118 (citing some of the same sources).

Had the Court in Bruen endorsed simply deferring to Heller's "presumptively lawful" footnote, the outcome of that case would have been much different. "[L]aws forbidding the carrying of firearms in sensitive places" were another one of the categories of " 'longstanding' . . . and 'presumptively lawful' regulatory measures" that Heller's footnote mentioned. Jackson v. City & County of San Francisco, 746 F.3d 953, 959 (9th Cir. 2014) (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 626-27, 627 n.26, 128 S.Ct. 2783); see Bruen, 597 U.S. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111. But rather than go along with New York's "attempt[ ] to characterize [its] proper-cause requirement as a [longstanding] 'sensitive-place' " regulation under Heller, the Bruen Court rejected, as having "no historical basis," the argument that "New York [could] effectively declare the island of Manhattan a 'sensitive place' " where public carry could be categorically banned. Id. at 30-31, 142 S.Ct. 2111. As with any other firearm regulation challenged under the Second Amendment, Bruen clarified, courts must now analyze "sensitive place" laws by analogizing them to a sufficiently comparable historical counterpart. See id. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111.

It would be "fundamentally inconsistent" with Bruen's analytical framework to treat felon firearm bans any differently, as nothing in the majority opinion implies that we can jettison Bruen's test for one "presumptively lawful" category of firearm regulations but not others (e.g., sensitive place regulations). See Rodriguez, 728 F.3d at 979. And far from what the dissent suggests, applying Bruen to laws like § 922(g)(1) will not "uproot" any "longstanding prohibitions" on felons possessing firearms. Dissent at 696. To the extent any such "longstanding" tradition exists, Bruen would require us to uphold § 922(g)(1). But to do that, we must first flesh out what the relevant tradition is and how it compares to the law before us. That is the whole point of the "analogical inquiry" at Bruen's second step, which played no role in Vongxay's reasoning.

3.

The Government understandably downplays Vongxay's heavy reliance on prior cases that are clearly inconsistent with Bruen. See also Dissent at 693-94, 695. It also concedes by omission that Vongxay did not apply the two-step textual and historical methodology that Bruen requires. The Government argues instead that (if you squint hard enough) it is clear Bruen endorsed Vongxay's "conclusion" that Congress may categorically disarm all felons for life because the Court referred to the petitioners in Bruen as "law abiding" and "responsible" citizens not once, not twice, but 14 times.

First, whether Vongxay reached the right "conclusion" is irrelevant under Miller if "th[at] conclusion [can] no longer [be] 'supported for the reasons stated' in th[e] decision." Rodriguez, 728 F.3d at 979 (quoting United States v. Lindsey, 634 F.3d 541, 551 (9th Cir. 2011)); see also Langere, 983 F.3d at 1121 ("[D]eference [to intervening Supreme Court decisions] extends to the reasoning of . . . the decisions . . . not just their holdings.") (emphasis added). Because Vongxay's rationale for holding § 922(g)(1) constitutional is incompatible with Bruen, Vongxay's holding cannot control.

Second, we do not think that the Supreme Court, without any textual or historical analysis of the Second Amendment, intended to decide the constitutional fate of so large a population in so few words and with such little guidance. See Range, 69 F.4th at 102 ("[T]he phrase 'law-abiding, responsible citizens' is as expansive as it is vague."); Dru Stevenson, In Defense of Felon-in-Possession Laws, 43 Cardozo L. Rev. 1573, 1595 (2022) ("[R]ecent scholarly estimates of the number of former felons range from 19 million to 24 million.") (internal citations omitted). "[T]he criminal histories of the plaintiffs . . . in Bruen," after all, "were not at issue in th[at] case," Range, 69 F.4th at 101, and "[i]t is inconceivable that [the Supreme Court] would rest [its] interpretation of the basic meaning of any guarantee of the Bill of Rights upon such . . . dictum in a case where the point was not at issue and was not argued," Heller, 554 U.S. at 625 n.25, 128 S.Ct. 2783. So we agree with the Third Circuit that Bruen's scattered references to "law-abiding" and "responsible" citizens did not implicitly decide the issue in this case. Range, 69 F.4th at 101; see United States v. Johnson, 256 F.3d 895, 916 (9th Cir. 2001) (separate opinion of Kozinski, J., Trott, T.G. Nelson, Silverman, JJ.) (statements "uttered in passing" and "made . . . without analysis" do not bind future panels).

* * *

Vongxay did not apply anything that resembles the analytical steps of Bruen's "mode of analysis" to determine whether § 922(g)(1) was constitutional under the Second Amendment. Miller, 335 F.3d at 900 (internal citations omitted). Vongxay instead relied first on prior decisions from this circuit and others, the reasoning of which does not square with Bruen, and then turned to Heller's passing footnote referring to "longstanding" felon firearm bans as "presumptively lawful," which the Heller Court made without "providing [any] extensive historical justification," Heller, 554 U.S. at 635, 128 S.Ct. 2783. We must therefore apply Bruen's two-step framework to reconsider § 922(g)(1)'s constitutionality.

B.

Step one of Bruen asks the "threshold question," Range, 69 F.4th at 101, whether "the Second Amendment's plain text covers" (1) the individual, (2) the type of arm, and (3) the "proposed course of conduct" that are at issue, Bruen, 597 U.S. at 19, 31-32, 142 S.Ct. 2111. Here, as in Bruen, it is undisputed that the Second Amendment protects the arm in this case (a handgun) and the conduct involved (simple possession). See id. at 31-32, 142 S.Ct. 2111. All that is left for us to decide is the first textual element: whether Duarte is among "the people" to whom the Second Amendment right belongs.

On that issue, Duarte argues that "the people" in the Second Amendment means all American citizens, which includes him. Look no further than the Court's textual analysis of "the people" in Heller, where the Court construed that phrase as "unambiguously refer[ring]" not to any "unspecified subset" of people but to "all members of the national community," which includes "all Americans." Id. at 580-81, 128 S.Ct. 2783; see also Bruen, 597 U.S. at 70, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (ratifying Heller's "all Americans" definition of "the people"). Regardless whether Duarte is an American citizen, the Government responds, the Second Amendment excludes felons from "the people" because the right to keep and bear arms was a qualified "political" right at the Founding reserved for members of the "virtuous citizenry." The right to bear arms, in other words, was no different from the right to vote, sit on a jury, or run for office, all of which state legislatures historically denied felons because their conduct had proved they were not upright or moral citizens.

Duarte is one of "the people" because he is an American citizen. Heller resolved this textual question when it held that "the people" includes "all Americans" because they fall squarely within our "national community." Id. at 580-81, 128 S.Ct. 2783. Bruen expressly reaffirmed that reading. 597 U.S. at 70, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("The Second Amendment guaranteed to 'all Americans' the right to bear commonly used arms in public subject to certain reasonable, well-defined restrictions.") (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783). Our own analysis of the Second Amendment's text and history also confirms that the original public meaning of "the people" in the Second Amendment included, at a minimum, all American citizens. We therefore reject the Government's position that "the people," as used in the Second Amendment, refers to a narrower, "unspecified subset" of virtuous citizens. See Heller, 554 U.S. at 580, 128 S.Ct. 2783.

1.

In Heller, "the people"—the "holder of the [Second Amendment] right"—was the starting point of the Court's textual analysis. Id. at 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783. The Court began by tracking that phrase's use across various provisions in the Constitution. While the preamble, Article I, § 2, and the Tenth Amendment "refer[red] to 'the people' acting collectively," they "deal[t] with the exercise or reservation of powers, not rights." Id. at 579-80, 128 S.Ct. 2783. Of those provisions that, like the Second Amendment, referred to the "the people" in the context of individual rights—the First, Fourth, and Ninth Amendments—the phrase was used as a "term of art" that "unambiguously refer[red] to all members" of the "political" or "national community," not "an unspecified subset." Id. at 580, 128 S.Ct. 2783. The Court then closed this part of its textual analysis by concluding that there is "a strong presumption that the Second Amendment right is exercised individually and belongs to all Americans." Id. at 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (emphasis added).

The Government argues that the Court in Heller never meant to define the scope of "the people" when it said those words. We are urged to think about it less as a statement of law and more as a "comment" the Heller Court made as a warmup to its ultimate conclusion "[t]hat the [Second] Amendment confers an individual right unrelated to militia service." If the court wants guidance from Heller as to who "the people" are, we should focus instead on Heller's concluding remarks at the tail-end of the opinion, where the Court stated that "whatever else it leaves to future evaluation, [the Second Amendment] surely elevates above all other interests the right of law-abiding, responsible citizens to use arms in defense of hearth and home." Heller, 554 U.S. at 635, 128 S.Ct. 2783.

The Court's textual analysis of "the people" in Heller hardly reads as a "mere[ ] . . . prelude to another[,] [more important] legal issue that command[ed] the [Court's] full attention." Johnson, 256 F.3d at 914-16; see Range, 69 F.4th at 101. The Second Amendment's use of "the people" to "descri[be] the holder of th[e] right" was "[t]he first salient feature of the [Amendment's] operative clause" that dominated the Heller Court's textual analysis—the second being the Amendment's phrase "to keep and bear arms," which described "the substance of the right." Heller, 554 U.S. at 580-81, 128 S.Ct. 2783. Thus, defining who "the people" were and the "substance" of the right they held were both equally necessary to Heller's holding. See id. at 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783 ("We move now from the holder of the right—'the people'—to the substance of the right: 'to keep and bear Arms.' "). Only after "[p]utting . . . these [two] textual elements together" did the Court conclude that the "[m]eaning" of the Second Amendment "guarantee[s] the individual right to possess and carry weapons in case of confrontation." Id. at 592, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (emphasis added).

So we agree with Duarte that Heller read "the people" in the Second Amendment as "unambiguously refer[ring] . . . not to an unspecified subset" but to "all Americans," who are indisputably "part of the national community." Id. at 580-81, 128 S.Ct. 2783; see also Bruen, 597 U.S. at 70, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("The Second Amendment guaranteed to 'all Americans' the right to bear commonly used arms in public subject to certain reasonable, well-defined restrictions.") (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 581, 128 S.Ct. 2783); McDonald v. City of Chicago, Ill., 561 U.S. 742, 767-68, 130 S.Ct. 3020, 177 L.Ed.2d 894 (2010) ("[W]e concluded[ ] [in Heller that] citizens must be 'permitted "to use [handguns] for the core lawful purpose of self-defense." ' ") (citing Heller, 554 U.S. at 630, 128 S.Ct. 2783). With that, we join the growing number of circuits to give authoritative weight to Heller's "national community" definition for "the people."⁵

5 See, e.g., United States v. Daniels, 77 F.4th 337, 342 (5th Cir. 2023) ("The right to bear arms is held by 'the people.' That phrase 'unambiguously refers to all members of the political community['] . . . not a special group of upright citizens . . . . Even as a marihuana user, Daniels is a member of our political community.") (citations omitted); Range, 69 F.4th at 101, 103 ("[T]he Second Amendment right, Heller said, presumptively 'belongs to all Americans.' . . . We reject the Government's contention that only 'law-abiding, responsible citizens' are counted among 'the people[,]' . . . [and] conclude that Bryan Range remains among 'the people' despite his [felony] conviction."); United States v. Jimenez-Shilon, 34 F.4th 1042, 1046 (11th Cir. 2022) (observing "even . . . dangerous felons and those suffering from mental illness" are "indisputably part of 'the people' "); United States v. Jimenez, 895 F.3d 228, 233 (2d Cir. 2018) ("[A]t least members of the 'national community' or those with a 'sufficient connection' with that community are part of the 'people' covered by the Second Amendment.").

2.

Our own analysis of the Second Amendment's text, "as informed by [its] history," confirms that "the people" included, at a minimum, all American citizens—without qualification. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 19, 142 S.Ct. 2111. Mindful that "the Constitution was written to be understood by the voters," we begin with the " 'normal and ordinary' meaning of the Second Amendment's language." Heller, 554 U.S. at 576, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (quoting United States v. Sprague, 282 U.S. 716, 731, 51 S.Ct. 220, 75 L.Ed. 640 (1931)). We also consider the same pre-and post-ratification sources that Heller looked to because when it comes "to determin[ing] the public understanding of a legal text in the period after its enactment or ratification," the historical record serves as "a critical tool of constitutional interpretation." Bruen, 597 U.S. at 20, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (emphasis in original) (quoting Heller, 554 U.S. at 605, 128 S.Ct. 2783).

What we gather from history is that ordinary English speakers at the Founding understood the "people" to refer to "the whole Body of Persons who live in a Country[ ] or make up a Nation." N. Bailey, An Universal Etymological English Dictionary 601-02 (1770). The "most useful and authoritative [contemporaneous-usage] dictionaries" of the Founding-era uniformly defined the term this way.⁶ Antonin Scalia & Bryan A. Garner, Reading Law: The Interpretation of Legal Texts 419 (1st ed. 2012). This broad definition—with its focus on residency—largely overlapped with the commonly understood meaning of "citizens" at that time. Compare People, Webster, supra, at 600 ("The body of persons who compose a community, town, city, or nation"), with e.g., Citizen, Dyche, supra, at 156 ("[A] freeman or inhabitant of a city or body corporate."). Other Founding-era sources likewise used the two terms synonymously. See, e.g., THE FEDERALIST NO. 2, at 10 (John Jay) (Jacob E. Cooke ed. 1961) ("To all general purposes we have uniformly been one people each individual citizen everywhere enjoying the same national rights, privileges, and protection."); THE FEDERALIST NO. 14 (James Madison) ("Hearken not to the unnatural voice which tells you that the people of America[ ] . . . can no longer be fellow citizens of one great, respectable, and flourishing empire."); Douglass v. Stephens, 1 Del. Ch. 465, 467 (1821) ("[T]he people of the United States . . . resist[ed] the . . . British King and Parliament . . . . [T]hey knew that they were practically, as well as legally, fellow-citizens, . . . enjoying every right and privilege indiscriminately with the inhabitants.").

6 See, e.g., Noah Webster, American Dictionary of the English Language 600 (1st ed. 1828) ("The body of persons who compose a community, town, city, or nation."); Thomas Dyche, A New General English Dictionary 626 (14th ed. 1776) ("[E]very person, or the whole collection of inhabitants in a nation or kingdom."); Samuel Johnson, A Dictionary of the English Language 297 (6th ed. 1785) ("A nation; those who compose a community.").

This notion that one's status as a "citizen" signified his membership among "the people" traces its roots to English common law. In his Commentaries on the Laws of England, William Blackstone explained that every "[n]atural-born subject[ ]" of England "fall[s] under the denomination of the people" because his birth within the realm creates an "intrinsic" duty of allegiance, a "tie . . . which binds [him] to the king." 2 William Blackstone, Commentaries *366 (St. George Tucker ed. 1803) (1767); see also William Blackstone, An Analysis of the Laws of England 24 (6th ed. 1771) ("Allegiance is the duty of all subjects; being the reciprocal tie of the People to the Prince.") (emphasis added). But this "tie" went both ways. "[B]y being born within the king's" realm, Blackstone continued, all "natural-born subjects . . . acquire" a "great variety of rights," id. at *371, including "the fundamental right[ ] of Englishmen," to "hav[e] arms for their defence," see Heller, 554 U.S. at 594, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (citing 1 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at *136, *139-40); Jimenez-Shilon, 34 F.4th at 1047 (citations omitted). "[T]he colonists considered themselves to be vested with th[ese] same fundamental rights" because, as British subjects, they counted themselves among "the People of Great Britain." McDonald, 561 U.S. at 816, 817, 130 S.Ct. 3020 (Thomas, J., concurring in part and concurring in judgment) (quoting The Massachusetts Resolves (Oct. 29, 1765), reprinted in Prologue to Revolution: Sources and Documents on the Stamp Act Crisis, 1764-1766, p.56 (E. Morgan ed. 1959)).

That "the people" referred (at a minimum) to all citizens, and that the "right of the people" to keep and bear arms was a fundamental right of every citizen, is also "confirmed by [the] analogous arms-bearing rights in state constitutions that preceded and immediately followed adoption of the Second Amendment." Heller, 554 U.S. at 600, 128 S.Ct. 2783. The "most relevant" of these examples are the ten "state constitutional provisions written in the [late] 18th century or the first two decades of the 19th." Id. at 582, 128 S.Ct. 2783. While three of those states—Indiana, Missouri, and Ohio—described the Second Amendment right as belonging to "the people," Eugene Volokh, State Constitutional Rights to Keep and Bear Arms, 11 Tex. Rev. L. & Pol. 191, 209 (2006), six states—Alabama, Connecticut, Kentucky, Maine, Mississippi, and Pennsylvania—expressly conferred it to "the citizens" or "every citizen."⁷ Tennessee, in addition, described the right as belonging to all "freemen," another term for "citizens." TENN. CONST. art. I, § 26; see, e.g., Citizen, Samuel Johnson, A Dictionary of the English Language 297 (6th ed. 1785) ("A freeman of a city; not a foreigner; not a slave."); see also Simpson v. State, 13 Tenn. 356, 360 (1833) ("By this clause of the constitution, an express power is . . . secured to all the free citizens of the state to keep and bear arms for their defence.") (emphasis added).

7 ALA. CONST. art. I, § 27; CONN. CONST. art. I, § 15; KY. CONST. of 1792, art. XII, cl. 23; ME. CONST. of 1819, art. I, § 16; MISS. CONST. of 1817, art. I, § 23; PA. CONST. art. 1, § 21; see Volokh, supra, at 208-09.

"That of the[se] . . . state constitutional protections . . . enacted immediately after 1789, at least seven unequivocally protected [every] individual citizen's right to self-defense is strong evidence that this is how the founding generation conceived of the right." Heller, 554 U.S. at 603, 128 S.Ct. 2783. "These provisions," after all, offer "the most analogous linguistic context" for discerning how the public understood the Second Amendment right. Id. at 585-86, 128 S.Ct. 2783. And "[i]t is clear from th[eir] formulations that," when describing the holder of the right, the Founding generation used "the people" and "the citizens" interchangeably. Id. at 585, 128 S.Ct. 2783.

The "three important founding-era legal scholars [to] interpret[ ] the Second Amendment"—William Rawle, Joseph Story, and St. George Tucker—likewise equated "the people" with "citizens" and described the right to keep and bear arms as an all-citizens' right. Id. at 605, 128 S.Ct. 2783. In his "influential treatise," Rawle spoke of "[the] people [who are] permitted and accustomed to bear arms . . . [as] properly consist[ing] of armed citizens." Id. at 607, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (quoting W. Rawle, A View of the Constitution of the United States of America 140 (1825)) (emphasis added). Story similarly wrote that "[t]he right of the citizens to keep and bear arms has justly been considered as the palladium of the liberties . . . [I]t offers a strong moral check against the . . . arbitrary power of rulers . . . [and] enable[s] the people to resist and triumph over them." Heller, 554 U.S. at 607-08, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (quoting 2 J. Story, Commentaries on the Constitution of the United States § 1897, pp. 620-21 (4th ed. 1873)) (emphasis added). And Tucker, in his notes to Blackstone's Commentaries, described the holder of the arms right mostly broadly of all: "[A]ll men, without distinction, . . . are absolutely entitled . . . [to] th[e] right of self-preservation." 2 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at 145-46 n. 42 (1803) (emphasis added); see Heller, 554 U.S. at 594-95, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (citing id.).

Mid-19th-century cases interpreting the Second Amendment carried on this unbroken tradition of referring to the right to keep and bear arms as every citizen's right. See, e.g., Heller, 554 U.S. at 612, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (quoting United States v. Sheldon, in 5 Transactions of the Supreme Court of the Territory of Michigan 337, 346 (W. Blume ed. 1940) (" 'The constitution of the United States also grants to the citizen the right to keep and bear arms.' ")); State v. Chandler, 5 La. Ann. 489, 490 (1850) (describing the Second Amendment as protecting every "man's right to carry arms . . . 'in full open view' "). The Georgia Supreme Court's decision in Nunn v. State, 1 Ga. 243, 251 (1846), for instance—a case that "perfectly captur[ed]" the import of the Second Amendment's text—described the right as belonging to "the whole people, old and young, men, [and] women . . . ." Heller, 554 U.S. at 612, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (quoting id.) (emphasis added).

We will stop there, although we could go on. See McDonald, 561 U.S. at 773-74, 130 S.Ct. 3020 ("[T]he Civil Rights Act of 1866, . . . which was considered at the same time as the Freedmen's Bureau Act, similarly sought to protect the right of all citizens to keep and bear arms.") (emphasis added). We are confident that, "by founding-era consensus," the "right of the people" to keep and bear arms was publicly understood as the fundamental right of every citizen. United States v. Huitron-Guizar, 678 F.3d 1164, 1168 (10th Cir. 2012).

3.

Against this weight of evidence, the Government tells us that "the people" protected by the Second Amendment historically included not all citizens but rather a subset of them—namely, members of the "virtuous citizenry." As its one and only example from history, the Government quotes the most favorable language from 19th-century commentator Thomas Cooley's "massively popular" Treatise on Constitutional Limitations. Heller, 554 U.S. at 616, 128 S.Ct. 2783. In that work, Cooley wrote that "the people, in the legal sense, must be understood to be those who . . . are clothed with political rights," such as the right of "elective franchise." Thomas M. Cooley, A Treatise on the Constitutional Limitation Which Rest upon the Legislative Power on the States of the American Union ch. III, 39 (4th ed. 1878). When used "in this connection," he continued, "[c]ertain classes have been almost universally excluded" from "the people," such as the "slave, . . . the woman, . . . the infant, the idiot, the lunatic, and the felon." Id. at 36, 37 (emphasis added). "The theory" was that these groups "lack[ed] either the intelligence, . . . the liberty of action," or, in the case of felons, "the virtue" that was "essential to the proper exercise of the elective franchise." Id. at 37. So they "are compelled to submit to be ruled by an authority in the creation of which they ha[d] no choice." Id. at 36.

Cooley was referring to the "idiomatic" meaning of "the people" used in select parts of the Constitution that "deal with the exercise or reservation of [the] powers, not [the individual] rights" of "the people." See Heller, 554 U.S. at 579-80, 128 S.Ct. 2783. Indeed, the notion that the right to vote was among the "natural right[s]" of "the people" was, in Cooley's view, "utterly without substance" because it "d[id] not exist for the benefit of the individual, but for the benefit of the state itself." Cooley, General Principles of Constitutional Law in the United States of America ch. XIV, § II at 248-49 (1880); see also Kanter v. Barr, 919 F.3d 437, 462 (7th Cir. 2019) (Barrett, J., dissenting) ("For example, the right to vote is held by individuals, but they do not exercise it solely for their own sake; rather, they cast votes as part of the collective enterprise of self-governance."). When used to describe the fundamental rights of individuals, as opposed to their powers, Cooley clarified that "the people" took on the much broader "all-citizens" definition that we have described all along. He explained this difference in meaning when discussing the First Amendment in his 1880 work, General Principles of Constitutional Law:

The first amendment to the Constitution further declares that Congress shall make no law abridging the right of the people peaceably to assemble and to petition the government for a redress of grievances . . . . When the term the people is made use of in constitutional law or discussions, it is often the case that those only are intended who have a share in the government through being clothed with the elective franchise . . . But in all the enumerations and guaranties of rights the whole people are intended[.] . . . In this case, therefore, the right to assemble is preserved to all the people, and not merely to the electors, or to any other class or classes of the people.

Id. at 267 (emphasis added). So we add Cooley to the already long list of influential writers who understood "the people," in the rights' context, to mean the whole body of citizens, and the "right of the people to keep and bear arms" as every citizen's right.

* * *

"[W]ith respect to [whom] the right to keep and bear arms" belongs, "[n]othing in the Second Amendment's text draws a . . . distinction" between those who are virtuous and those who are not. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 32, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (emphasis added) (finding no distinction between public versus private carry in the phrase "keep and bear arms"). Because Duarte's status as an American citizen places him among "the people" protected by the Second Amendment's "bare text," "[t]he Second Amendment . . . presumptively guarantees" his right to possess a firearm for self-defense. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 33, 44 n.11, 142 S.Ct. 2111. The Government now "shoulder[s] the burden of demonstrating" at step two of Bruen that § 922(g)(1) "is consistent with the Second Amendment's . . . historical scope."⁸ Id. at 44 n.11, 142 S.Ct. 2111.

8 While Bruen offered no explicit guidance on who bears the burden at step one, "[w]e need not decide that issue here because our conclusion that the Second Amendment presumptively protects" Duarte "would stand regardless." Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1178 n.8.

C.

At Bruen's second step, the Government must prove that it "is consistent with this Nation's historical tradition of firearm regulation" for Congress to ban permanently, by making it a felony, a non-violent offender like Duarte from possessing a firearm even after he has already served his terms of incarceration. See id. at 34, 142 S.Ct. 2111. Because "[b]ans on convicts possessing firearms were unknown [in the United States] before World War I," Chovan, 735 F.3d at 1137 (quoting C. Kevin Marshall, Why Can't Martha Stewart Have a Gun?, 32 Harv. J.L. & Pub. Pol'y 695, 698, 708 (2009)), the Government must identify for us "a well-established and representative historical analogue" to § 922(g)(1) that can justify the law's application to Duarte, Bruen, 597 U.S. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111. In assessing whether the Government has met its burden, the two "central considerations" that guide our analysis are "how and why" the Government's proposed analogues burdened the Second Amendment right. Id. (citations omitted). Did these historical examples, we must ask, "impose a comparable burden on the right of armed self-defense" (Bruen's "how") that was "comparably justified" (Bruen's "why") as compared to § 922(g)(1)? Id. at 29, 142 S.Ct. 2111.

One final point of order. While the Government does not have to find for us a historical "dead ringer" to § 922(g)(1), a law that "remotely resembles" a felon firearm ban is not enough. Id. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111. We are looking for something in between these two endpoints. On that score, Bruen offers some additional guidance. If the law at issue is a "distinctly modern firearm regulation[ ]" because it addresses a societal problem "unimaginable at the founding," the Government's historical analogues need only be "relevantly similar" to the challenged law. Id. at 28-29, 142 S.Ct. 2111; see Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1182; Alaniz, 69 F.4th at 1129-30.

Section 922(g)(1), however, takes aim at "[ ]gun violence" generally, which is a "problem that has persisted [in this country] since the 18th century." Bruen, 597 U.S. at 26, 27, 142 S.Ct. 2111. And § 922(g)(1) "confront[s] that problem" with "a flat ban on the possession of [ ]guns" by the formerly incarcerated, which no one here disputes is something "that the Founders themselves could have adopted." Id. at 27, 142 S.Ct. 2111. Thus, the fact that the "[t]he Founding generation had no laws limiting gun possession by . . . people convicted of crimes," Adam Winkler, Heller's Catch-22 , 56 UCLA Law Rev. 1551, 1563 (2009) (emphasis added)—while not fatal to the Government's case—means that "the lack of a . . . historical regulation" that is "distinctly similar" to § 922(g)(1) is strong if not conclusive "evidence" that the law "is inconsistent with the Second Amendment," Bruen, 597 U.S. at 27, 142 S.Ct. 2111; see also Baird, 81 F.4th at 1047 ("Because states in 1791 and 1868 also grappled with general gun violence, California must provide analogues that are 'distinctly similar.' "); Range, 69 F.4th at 103 (similar). We turn now to the Government's evidence.

1.

The Government's first proposed category of historical analogues are not firearm regulations per se but a trio of draft proposals that certain members of New Hampshire's, Massachusetts's, and Pennsylvania's state conventions recommended adding to the Constitution prior to its ratification. New Hampshire's convention offered language providing that "Congress shall never disarm any citizen, unless such as are or have been in actual rebellion." 1 Jonathan Elliot, The Debates in the Several State Conventions on the Adoption of the Federal Constitution 326 (2d ed. 1891). "Samuel Adams and other delegates unsuccessfully urged the Massachusetts convention to recommend" adding a provision to the Constitution that it "be never construed to authorize Congress to . . . prevent the people of the United States, who are peaceable citizens, from keeping their own arms." Marshall, supra, at 713 (quoting 2 Bernard Schwartz, The Bill of Rights: A Documentary History 674-75 (1971) (emphasis added)). A minority of Pennsylvania's convention lastly proposed language that read: "[T]he people have a right to bear arms for the defense of themselves . . . and no law shall be passed for disarming the people or any of them unless for crimes committed, or real danger of public injury from individuals." 2 Schwartz, supra, at 665 (emphasis added).

"It is dubious" at best whether several, rejected "proposals [made] in the state conventions," Heller, 554 U.S. at 603, 128 S.Ct. 2783, can—consistent with Bruen's second step—amount to a "well-established and representative" national tradition of regulating firearms, Bruen, 597 U.S. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111; see also Heller, 554 U.S. at 590, 128 S.Ct. 2783 ("It is always perilous to derive the meaning of an adopted provision from [ ]other provision[s] deleted in the drafting process."). None of the proposals, obviously, found its way into the Second Amendment. The two most restrictive ones (Pennsylvania's and Massachusetts's) failed to carry a majority vote within their own states. See Don B. Kates, Jr., Handgun Prohibition and the Original Meaning of the Second Amendment, 82 Mich. L. Rev. 204, 222 (1983). And neither of those two states, we add, incorporated the language of its proposal into the Second Amendment provision of its own constitution.⁹ See, e.g., PA. CONST. art. 1, § 21 (1790); MASS. CONST. pt. 1, art. 17 (1780); see Volokh, supra, at 208. All told, a handful of failed proposals "deleted in the drafting process," Heller, 554 U.S. at 590, 128 S.Ct. 2783, without more, offers "too dim a candle," to illuminate "how and why" the Founding generation restricted the Second Amendment right, see Folajtar v. Attorney General, 980 F.3d 897, 915 (3d Cir. 2020) (Bibas, J., dissenting). "But even assuming that this legislative history is relevant," Heller, 554 U.S. at 603, 128 S.Ct. 2783; see Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1188, we agree with now-Justice Barrett that "[t]he common concern [among] all three" of the proposals was "not about felons in particular or even criminals in general" but those whose conduct "threatened violence and the risk of public injury," Kanter, 919 F.3d at 456 (Barrett J., dissenting).

9 Nor did New Hampshire, which did not ratify an arms right provision in their constitution until 1982. See Volokh, supra, at 199.

Start with New Hampshire's proposal. It empowered Congress to disarm only those who "are or have been in actual rebellion," which was a crime against the state that denoted violence. Id. at 456 (citing Rebellion, 2 New Universal Etymological English Dictionary (4th ed. 1756) (defining "rebellion" as "traitorous taking up [of] arms, or a tumultuous opposing [of] . . . the nation")). Adams's proposal in the Massachusetts convention permitted disarming only citizens who were not "peaceable," a term that at the time meant "[f]ree from war; free from tumult"; "[q]uiet; undisturbed"; "[n]ot violent; not bloody"; "[n]ot quarrelsome; not turbulent." Samuel Johnson, A Dictionary of the English Language (5th ed. 1773), quoted in Kanter, 919 F.3d at 455 (Barrett, J., dissenting). "Far from banning the [possession] of . . . firearms" by any class of criminal, Adams's proposal "merely [sought to] codif[y] the existing common-law" tradition of disarming those who "b[ore] arms to terrorize the people, as had [been done since] the Statute of Northampton" in 1328. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 46-47, 142 S.Ct. 2111; compare id. (citing Massachusetts's colonial law "authoriz[ing] justices of the peace to arrest 'all Affrayers, Rioters, Disturbers, or Breakers of the Peace' ") (1692 Mass. Acts and Laws no. 6, pp 11-12), with Kanter, 919 F.3d at 455 (Barrett J. dissenting) ("Those who 'breach[ed] the peace' caused '[a] violation of the public peace, as by a riot, affray, or any tumult which [wa]s contrary to law, and destructive to the public tranquility.' ") (quoting Noah Webster, An American Dictionary of the English Language (1828)). Only the Pennsylvania minority's proposal—which would have allowed disarming those "for crimes committed, or [for] real danger of public injury"—comes close to "suggest[ing]" the categorical disarmament of all lawbreakers. Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1188. But see Bruen, 597 U.S. at 66, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("[W]e will not give disproportionate weight to a single state statute and a pair of state-court decisions."). But when read together with the remaining clause "or [for] real danger of public injury," the more plausible interpretation is that "crimes committed" referred to a narrower "subset of crimes [that] suggest[ed] a proclivity for violence." Kanter, 919 F.3d at 456 (Barrett J., dissenting); Scalia, supra, at 112 (explaining that "or," when "set off by commas," "introduces a definitional equivalent").

On balance, then, the draft proposals allude to a possible tradition of disarming a narrow segment of the populace who posed a risk of harm because their conduct was either violent or threatened future violence. That does not offer a "distinctly similar" justification for an across-the-board disarming of non-violent offenders like Duarte. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 26, 142 S.Ct. 2111. We move on to the Government's second category of historical analogues.

2.

The Government next refers us to 17th-to early 19th-century colonial and American laws that disarmed groups whom the Founding generation, according to the Government, "deemed untrustworthy based on [their] lack of adherence to the rule of law." At the height of the Revolutionary War, British Loyalists who refused to swear allegiance to the new republic were dispossessed of their firearms. Infra Part a. Catholics were disarmed in England once the Protestants seized power after the Glorious Revolution; several colonies passed similar Catholic-disarmament laws during the French and Indian War. Infra Part b. Bans on selling arms to Indians were a matter of course in the early American colonies. Infra Part c. And Blacks, free and enslaved alike, were routinely deprived of their arms. Infra Part d. Repugnant as these laws are by modern standards, the Government maintains that they represent a longstanding tradition in this country of disarming groups whom legislatures thought were "unwilling" to comply with the law.

Laws that disarmed British Loyalists, Catholics, Indians, and Blacks fail both the "why" and "how" of Bruen's analogical test. First, the "why." There is a solid basis in history to infer that states could lawfully disarm these groups because they "were written out of 'the people' " altogether. Rahimi, 61 F.4th at 457. But Duarte is an American citizen and counts among "the people" by both modern and Founding-era standards. And insofar as legislatures passed these laws to prevent armed insurrections by dangerous groups united along political, ideological, or social lines, the Government offers no historical evidence that the Founding generation perceived formerly incarcerated, non-violent criminals as posing a similar threat of collective, armed resistance.

As to the nature of the burden on the Second Amendment right (the "how" under Bruen) most of the historical examples we have seen were far less reaching than § 922(g)(1). During the American Revolution, states generally allowed British Loyalists to regain their arms once they swore loyalty to the new republic. Infra Part C.2.a. Catholics still retained "such necessary weapons" for their own self-defense. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 45 n.12, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (quoting 1 Wm. & Mary c. 15, § 4, in 3 Eng. Stat. at Large 399 (1688)). Many colonial-era firearm regulations targeting Indians did not even disarm this group but instead banned the sale of arms to them.Infra Part C.2.c. Even laws prohibiting Blacks from possessing arms still allowed for (albeit narrow) exceptions. Infra Part C.2.d. What this all tells us is that the burden on the Second Amendment right under these laws did not persist for life for these groups. It was subject to certain need-based or case-specific exemptions or could end altogether when evidence undermined the justification for the disability. That stands in stark contrast to § 922(g)(1)'s lifelong, no-exception, categorical ban. The Government's proffered analogues are thus not "distinctly similar" to § 922(g)(1) in both "how and why" these laws burdened the Second Amendment right.

a. Laws disarming British Loyalists or "disaffected" persons.

When the Revolutionary War was in full swing, early state legislatures routinely condemned "disaffected" persons as "enem[ies] to the American cause," who "spread [their] disaffection" from within to the detriment of the war effort. Act of 1779, 9 The Statutes at Large of Pennsylvania from 1682 to 1801 441 (1903). "[T]here [wa]s great reason to believe" that "dangerous and disaffected" persons "communicate[d] intelligence to the [British] enemy," and were inclined to either join or support an insurrection should one arise. Act of 1778, 1 Laws of the State of New York Passed at the Sessions of the Legislature 50 (1777-1784); Act of 1780, 10 Statutes at Large; Being a Collection of All the Laws of Virginia, from the First Session of the Legislature in the Year 1619 310-11 (Hening ed. 1822) ("[C]omit[ting] to close confinement[ ] any person . . . suspect[ed] of disaffection" in the event of invasion or insurrection). So much so did this class of people concern the new nation that the Continental Congress "recommended . . . disarm[ing] persons 'who are notoriously disaffected to the cause of America, or who have not associated, and shall refuse to associate, to defend, by arms, these United Colonies.' " Joseph G.S. Greenlee, The Historical Justification for Prohibiting Dangerous Persons from Possessing Arms, 20 Wyo. L. Rev. 249, 264 (2020) (quoting 1 Journals of the Continental Congress, 1774-1789, at 285 (1906)). Six of the states heeded this advice by enacting oath-or-disarmament laws, which stripped individuals of their arms if they refused to "renounc[e] all allegiance to the now-foreign sovereign George III in addition to swearing allegiance to one's State."¹⁰ Marshall, supra, at 724-25.

10 Act of 1779, 9 Statutes at Large of Pennsylvania, supra, at 347-48; Act of 1776, 5 The Acts and Resolves, Public and Private, of the Province of Massachusetts Bay 479 (1886); 1777 Act of Va., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 282; Act of 1776, 7 Records of the Colony of Rhode Island and Providence Plantations in New England 567 (Bartlett ed. 1862); Act of 1777, 24 The State Records of North Carolina 89 (Clark ed. 1905); Act of 1778, 203 Hanson's Laws of Maryland 1763-1784 193, 278 (1801). Several other states passed similar laws. Connecticut disarmed those who "libel[ed] or defame[d] any of the resolves of the . . . Congress of the United Colonies" or, upon "complaint being made to the civil authority," were found to be "inimical to the liberties of th[e] Colon[ies]." Act of 1775, 15 The Public Records of the Colony of Connecticut, From May, 1775, to June 1776 193 (Hoadly ed. 1890). New York ordered the supplying of its militias with "such good Arms . . . as they may have collected by disarming disaffected persons," Order of 1776, 15 Documents Relating to the Colonial History of the State of New York 103 (Fernow ed. 1887). New Jersey, lastly, empowered its Council of Safety "to deprive . . . [all] Arms, Accoutrements, and Ammunition" from "such Person as they shall judge disaffected." Act of 1777, Acts of the General Assembly of the State of New Jersey 90 (1777).

The Government would have us conclude that the reason the states disarmed "disaffected" persons was "because their actions evinced an unwillingness to comply with the legal norms of the nascent social compact." That is far too generalized an abstraction to draw and ignores the historical context in which these laws were passed. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 42, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (noting 16th century "royal efforts at suppress[ing] . . . handguns" arose not because of "concerns about their safety but rather their inefficacy").

The states passed these laws during "the darkest days of an existential domestic war" between the newly formed republic and Great Britain. Marshall, supra, at 725. "[N]on-associat[ors]," the thinking went, not only "refuse[d] . . . to defend, by arms, th[e] United Colonies," 1 Journals of the Continental Congress, 1774-1789, at 285 (1906), but might also "take up arms against America" in "th[is] present unhappy dispute," see Resolution of the Council of Safety, Jan. 18, 1776, 1 The Revolutionary Records of the State of Georgia 101 (Candler ed. 1908) (emphasis added). Confiscating their weapons—for the time being—was thought both reasonable and necessary to preserve the new nation. See Greenlee, supra, at 265 ("Like the English, and out of similar concerns of violent insurrections, the colonists disarmed those who might rebel against them."); Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1187 ("The justification was always that those being disarmed were dangerous.") (quoting Greenlee, supra, at 265).

The laws targeting disaffected persons, for example, certainly read like emergency wartime measures. See, e.g., 1778 Act of Va., 10 Statutes at Large, supra, at 310-11 (calling for the confinement of disaffected persons "in this time of public[ ] danger, when a powerful and vindictive enemy are ravaging our southern sister states"); 1779 Act of Pa., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 441 (calling for the "temporary suspension of law" in this "time[ ] of public danger" and confining suspected Loyalists). And there is good reason to think they were, in famed commentator St. George Tucker's words, "merely temporary." 2 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at *368 n.2 (discussing Virginia's 1777 oath-or-disarmament law); see also Marshall, supra, at 726 ("[T]here is good reason to consider the[se] [laws] not to have survived through the Founding in anything like their original form."). It lastly bears emphasis that only male inhabitants who qualified for militia service—i.e., men of fighting age—had to swear an oath. Most states, in other words, disarmed those who were not just sympathetic to the prospect of a domestic, armed uprising, but physically capable of joining one. E.g., 1776 Act of Mass., 5 Acts and Resolves, supra, at 479 (1886) (requiring "every male person above sixteen" to swear the oath and disarming those who "neglect[ed] or refuse[d]"); 1777 Act of Va., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 282 (same); Act of 1777, 24 The State Records of North Carolina, supra, at 88 (similar); Act of 1776, 7 Records of the Colony of Rhode Island, supra, at 566 (1862) (same); 1777 Act of Penn., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 111.

There is just as good reason to conclude that "disaffected" persons could be disarmed in toto because they fell outside "the people" and were therefore deemed to have no fundamental rights. See Jimenez-Shilon, 34 F.4th at 1048. Since "an individual's undivided allegiance to the sovereign" was a "precondition" to his "membership in the political community," British Loyalists "renounced" their place among "the [American] people" by refusing to swear a loyalty oath. Jimenez-Shilon, 34 F.4th at 1048 (quoting United States v. Perez, 6 F.4th 448, 462 (2d Cir. 2021) (Menashi, J., concurring) (internal quotations omitted)).

At least several states explicitly justified disarming Loyalists along these lines. North Carolina, for example, explained that it is "the Duty of every Member of Society to give proper Assurance of fidelity to the Government from which he enjoys protection." Act of 1777, 24 The State Records of North Carolina, supra, at 88. Those who abstain from swearing allegiance, "by their refusal . . . to do [so]," "proclaim that they should no longer enjoy the Privileges of Freemen [i.e., citizens] of the . . . State." Id. (emphasis added). Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Maryland similarly invoked this idea of a "reciprocal" relationship of "allegiance and protection" between the citizen and state. 1777 Act of Va., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 281; 1778 Act of Pa., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 111; Act of 1777, 203 Hanson's Laws of Maryland, supra, at 187; Churchill, supra, at 160 ("Noting that 'in every free state, allegiance and protection are reciprocal,' Maryland['s] . . . test oath barred those refusing from . . . keeping arms."). By refusing to promise the former, the "disaffected" person swore off "the benefits of the latter." E.g., 1777 Act of Va., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 281.

It is no small coincidence either that these "loyalty" oaths were precursors to the 1795 naturalization oath that the First Congress later required resident aliens to swear as a condition for American citizenship. Compare 2 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at *368 n.2 (quoting Virginia's oath-or-disarmament law), with id. at *374 n.12 (quoting 1795 federal naturalization law). Thus, "[t]o refuse [that oath in 1777] was to declare oneself [not only] a resident alien of the new nation," but, "given the war," a "resident enemy alien" who sympathized with a foreign belligerent power. Marshall, supra, at 725 (emphasis added); see also Thomas Jefferson, NOTES ON THE STATE OF VIRGINIA 163 (Lilly & Wait eds., 1832) ("By our separation from Great Britain, British subjects became aliens, and being at war, they were alien enemies."). Consistent with that status change, disarmament was just one "part of a wholesale stripping of rights and privileges" that followed from refusing to swear allegiance. Marshall, supra, at 725. Many states, for example, sent suspected Loyalists to the "gaol," where they were held without bail until they recited the oath. See, e.g., 1779 Act of Pa., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 442; 1777 Act of Va., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 282-83. Virginia went one step further, barring oath-recusants from "suing for any debts . . . [and] buying lands, tenements, or hereditaments." 1777 Act of Va., 9 Statutes at Large, supra, at 282; see also NOTES ON THE STATE OF VIRGINIA, supra, at 162 ("By our laws, . . . no alien can hold lands, nor alien enemy maintain an action for money, or other moveable thing."). North Carolina outright banished those who refused their oath and declared anyone so banished who returned to the state "guilty of Treason." Act of 1777, 24 The State Records of North Carolina, supra, at 89. The few "permitted . . . to remain in the State" were not allowed to leave without express "[p]ermission . . . obtained from the Governor and Council." Id. Thus, "[b]y refusing to take an oath of allegiance," disaffected persons "forfeited [not just] the state's protection of their right to arms," Jimenez-Shilon, 34 F.4th at 1048, but other fundamental rights considered intrinsic to one's membership among "the people," see Corfield v. Coryell, 6 F. Cas. 546 (C.C.E.D. Pa. 1823) (enumerating certain "fundamental" rights of citizens as including "[t]he right . . . to pass through . . . in any other state, . . . to institute and maintain actions of any kind[,] . . . [and] to take, hold and dispose of property").

When viewed through this lens, the Government's analogy to laws disarming Loyalists fails the "why" of Bruen's second step. Insofar as these laws were meant as "merely temporary" measures, 2 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at *368 n.2, that "disarm[ed] [a] narrow segment[ ] of the population" because they "threaten[ed] . . . the public safety," that does not justify permanently disarming all non-violent felons today, see Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1189 (citing Kanter, 919 F.3d at 458 (Barrett, J., dissenting)). And if disarming the British Loyalist naturally followed because he swore himself out of "the people" by refusing his oath of allegiance, that reasoning does not carry over to the non-violent offender who served his prison term. The Government offered no evidence demonstrating that a former non-violent convict forever forfeited his legal status as one of "the people" merely because he sustained a criminal conviction.¹¹

11 In any case, we doubt that the garden variety horse thief or counterfeiter, for example, stood on remotely similar legal footing as British Loyalists at the Founding. Depending on the jurisdiction, the former served several years of "hard Labor" for his nonviolent offense. See, e.g., An Act for the Punishment of certain atrocious Crimes and Felonies, Acts and Laws of the State of Connecticut, in America, 183-84 (1796). While incarcerated, his fundamental rights as one of "the people" were "merely suspended." Kanter, 919 F.3d at 461 (Barrett, J., dissenting) (citing, e.g., In re Estate of Nerac, 35 Cal. 392, 396 (1868)). The latter was a "traitor in thought, . . . [if] not in deed," NOTES ON THE STATE OF VIRGINIA, supra, at 165, who had no rights to speak of, Marshall, supra, at 725 ("The harsh yet simple principle of the Revolution was that Tories 'had no civil liberties.' ") (quoting Leonard W. Levy, Emergence of a Free Press 173 (1985)).

Nor did "how" these laws burden the Second Amendment right come close to approximating § 922(g)(1)'s lifetime, no-exception ban. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 29, 142 S.Ct. 2111. The laws themselves were short-lived, as we mentioned earlier, but so was their burden on the Second Amendment right. Of the "disaffected" who were disarmed, they could normally regain their arms upon demonstrating they were not, in fact, "disaffected" to the American cause. Massachusetts, for instance, provided that disaffected persons could "receive their arms again . . . by the order of" the "committees of correspondence, inspection or safety." Act of Mass. (1775-76), 5 Acts and Resolves, supra, at 484. Rhode Island similarly contemplated that those who refused their loyalty oath could still keep their weapons by providing "satisfactory reasons" for their recusal. 1776 Act, 7 Records of the Colony of Rhode Island 567 (Bartlett ed. 1862). Connecticut's law spoke most directly to the principle that disaffected persons were not disarmed for life, qualifying that he who was found "inimical" to the States would be disarmed only "until such time as he could prove his friendliness to the liberal cause." G.A. Gilbert, The Connecticut Loyalists, 4 AM. HISTORICAL REV. 273, 282 (1899); see Act of Dec. 1775, 15 The Public Records of the Colony of Connecticut, supra, at 193; see also Journal of the Council of Safety, 1 The Public Records of the State of Connecticut 329 (Hoadly ed. 1894) (releasing "George Folliot of Ridgfield" from custody after he swore to take an oath of loyalty).

b. Laws disarming Catholics or "Papists."

Laws disarming Catholics fare arguably worse as historical analogues to § 922(g)(1) because the Government "point[s] to only three [such] restrictions." See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 46, 142 S.Ct. 2111. In 1756, Pennsylvania's and Maryland's colonies each enacted militia laws that seized arms belonging to any "Papist or reputed Papist" and barred them from enlisting in the local militia. 3 Pennsylvania Archives 131-32 (Samuel Hazard ed. 1853); 52 Proceedings and Acts of the General Assembly, 1755-1756 454 (Raphael Semmes ed. 1946). The Virginia colony, that same year, required "any Person . . . suspected to be[ ] a Papist" "to swear allegiance to Hanoverian dynasty and to the Protestant succession." Robert H. Churchill, Gun Regulation, the Police Power, and the Right to Keep Arms in Early America: The Legal Context of the Second Amendment, 25 Law & Hist. Rev. 139, 157 (2007). No Catholic "so refusing . . . [could] have any Arms, Weapons, Gunpowder, or Ammunition." Act of 1756, 7 Statutes at Large 35-36 (Hening ed. 1820).

It is "doubt[ful] that three colonial regulations" prove that disarming Catholics as a class ever became a "well-established" tradition in this country. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 46, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (emphasis in original). The practice appears instead to have been more of an English novelty that began when "the deposed King James II . . . disarm[ed] Protestants while arming . . . Roman Catholics." Marshall, supra, at 722-21. Indeed, the inhabitants of Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Maryland were still British subjects when they passed their Catholic-disarmament laws, and they did so at the height of the French and Indian War, "which was perceived by many . . . as a war between Protestantism and Catholicism." Greenlee, supra, at 263. Following independence, the custom did not seem to secure a strong enough foothold on this side of the Atlantic to mature into a longstanding tradition of firearm regulation. We are unaware of any post-ratification laws disarming Catholics as a class. See id. at 721 ("Like the game laws, the English exclusion of subjects based on religion ha[d] no place within the Second Amendment, as early commentators also celebrated."); see also Bruen, 597 U.S. at 35, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("[C]ourts must be careful when assessing evidence concerning English common-law . . . English common-law practices . . . cannot be indiscriminately attributed to the Framers of our own Constitution.").

We are not even sure that disarming Catholics was that prevalent in England. "[T]hese laws are seldom exerted to their utmost rigour," Blackstone wrote, and "if they were, it would be very difficult to excuse them." See 5 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at 57; see id. at 55-56 (summarizing arms restrictions and other anti-Catholic English laws); see also Bruen, 597 U.S. at 58, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("[R]espondents offer little evidence that authorities ever enforced surety laws."). Episodes like the foiled Gunpowder Plot of 1605, where Guy Fawkes led fervent Catholics in a conspiracy to kill King James I and blow up both Houses of Parliament, Laura K. Donohue, The Original Fourth Amendment, 83 U. Chi. L. Rev. 1181, 1210-11 (2016), "obliged parliament to counteract so dangerous a spirit by laws of a great, and then perhaps necessary, severity," 5 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at 57. Thus, Blackstone explained, these laws "are rather . . . accounted for . . . from their history, and the urgency of the times which produced them, than to be approved . . . as a standing system of law." Id.

In any event, the "why" behind these laws does not justify disarming non-violent felons as a class. In theory, Catholics "acknowledge[ed] a foreign power, superior to the sovereignty of the kingdom." Id. at 55. Catholics "c[ould not] complain if the laws of th[e] kingdom will not treat them upon the footing of good subjects," Blackstone wrote, when their "separation" from the Church of England was "founded [not] only upon [a] difference of [religious] opinion" but a "subversion of the civil government." Id. at 54-55. Taking away their guns thus followed "the same rationale" for stripping suspected loyalists of their arms during the American Revolution. Marshall, supra, at 724. The only difference was the "religious overlay." Id. While one's "disaffection" to American independence went together with supporting the British, "being Roman Catholic was equated with supporting [the deposed Catholic king] James II," was "presumptive [with] treason," and made one "effectively a resident enemy alien liable to violence against the [protestant] king" George II. Id.

Nor can we say that the burdens these laws imposed on the Second Amendment right were as heavy as § 922(g)(1)'s no-exception, lifetime ban. In England, "[e]ven Catholics, who [technically] fell beyond protection of the right to have arms, . . . were at least allowed to keep 'such necessary Weapons as shall be allowed . . . by Order of the Justices of the Peace . . . for the Defence of his House or Person.' " Bruen, 597 U.S. at 45 n.12, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (quoting 1 Wm. & Mary c. 15, § 4, in 3 Eng. Stat. at Large 399 (1688)). Maryland's and Virginia's laws included the same self-defense exception. 1756 Act of Va., 7 Statutes at Large, at 35 (Hening ed. 1820); 1756 Act of Md., 52 Proceedings and Acts of the General Assembly, 1755-1756 448 (Raphael Semmes ed. 1946) (similar). That Virginia, for example, thought it was "dangerous at th[e] time to permit Papists to be armed," yet still allowed for a professed Catholic to possess arms for self-defense, suggests that even a suspected traitor to the English crown still retained his fundamental right to protect himself with a firearm. 1756 Act of Va., 7 Statutes at Large, supra, at 35.

c. Laws disarming Indians.

Like Catholics and Loyalists, Indians, while not traitors, "had always been considered [members of a] distinct, independent political communit[y]," with whom the colonies were frequently at war. Worcester v. State of Ga., 31 U.S. 515, 519, 6 Pet. 515, 8 L.Ed. 483 (1832). Indians, simply put, "w[ere] [not] . . . citizen[s] of the British colonies" and were not "entitled to the [same] rights of English subjects," so they could be disarmed as a matter of course. Jimenez-Shilon, 34 F.4th at 1047 (quoting Joyce Lee Malcom, To Keep and Bear Arms: The Origins of an Anglo-American Right 140 (1994)). And to the extent they were, it was generally during times of conflict.¹² In a similar vein, to sell Indians arms during wartime was to provide material aid to the enemy, a capital crime in many cases. See, e.g., 1675 Act of Va., 2 Statutes at Large 326-27, 336 (Hening ed. 1823). Thus, colonial assemblies justified barring the sale of arms to Indians not because they were "deemed untrustworthy based on lack of adherence to the rule of law," but because they were foreign combatants with whom the colonists were engaged in an ongoing and violent military conflict.

12 See, e.g., An Order for All Indyans on Long Island to Bee Disarmed, in This Juncture of Ware, & That None Ramble from Place to Place, 14 Documents Relating to the Colonial History of the State of New York 712 (1883); Ordinance of the Director and Council of New Netherland, Laws and Ordinances of New Netherland (1638-1674) 234 (O'Callaghan ed. 1868) (ordering "a[ll] Indians" to forfeit their arms after "hav[ing] been inform[ed] that . . . Indians of the Tappaen . . . intended to kill one or more Christians" and "to prevent such dangers of isolated murders and assassinations").

For example, one 1675 Virginia law, after condemning "the sundry mur[d]ers, rapines and many depredations lately committed and done by Indians on the inhabitants of this country," resolved that "a war[ ] be declared . . . against all such Indians," and warned that "any person . . . within this colony . . . presum[ing] to trade . . . with any Indian any powder, shot[ ] or arm[s] . . . shall suffer death without benefit[ ] of clergy." 2 Statutes at Large, supra, at 326-27, 336. New York and Massachusetts similarly denounced "the dangerous practice of selling [g]uns . . . [to] the Indians" as causing "the destruction of the Christians" and as "very poisonous and destructive to the English." Ordinance of 1645, Laws and Ordinances of New Netherland, 1638-1674 47 (O'Callaghan ed. 1868); Act of 1676, 11 Records Of The Colony Of New Plymouth In New England 242-43 (Pulsifer ed. 1861). Anyone "daring to trade" any arms or "munitions of War" with them was to be executed. Id. "[T]he eastern Indians have broke[n] and violated all treaties and friendship made with them," one 1721 New Hampshire law remarked. 1721 Act, Acts and Laws of His Majesty's Province of New Hampshire 164 (1771). "[T]herefore [be] it enacted . . . [t]hat whoever shall . . . supply them with any . . . guns, powder shot[ ], [or] bullets . . . [shall] pay the sum of five hundred pounds, and suffer twelve months imprisonment." Id. Thus, even those colonies punishing the sale of arms to Indians less harshly still justified these measures as designed to prevent the arming of a foreign enemy.

The nature of the burden imposed by these laws was also different in kind from how § 922(g)(1) operates. Most colonial enactments targeting Indians regulated a different type of conduct. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 47, 142 S.Ct. 2111. Rather than ban Indians from possessing firearms, the laws prohibited the sale of arms to them by colonial residents. E.g., 1675 Act of Va., 2 Statutes at Large, supra, at 326-27, 336. They also referred to licensing requirements and implied that those with proper credentials could still trade arms with Indians. Pennsylvania's 1676 sale-of-arms ban, for instance, prohibited persons from "sell[ing] giv[ing] or barter[ing] . . . any gun . . . to any Indian" "without license first . . . [being] obtained under the Governor's hand and Seal." Act of 1676, Charter to William Penn, and Laws of the Province of Pennsylvania 32 (Staughton et al., 1879) (emphasis added); see also Act of 1763, Pa. Laws 319, § 1 (prohibiting sale of "guns . . . or other warlike stores without license") (emphasis added). Georgia similarly outlawed selling arms to Indians in 1784 but only at any "place . . . [other] than at stores or houses licensed for that purpose." Act of Feb. 1784, Digest of Laws of the State of Georgia 288-89 (Watkins ed. 1800) (emphasis added); see also Act of 1645, Laws and Ordinances of New Netherland, 1638-1674 47 (O'Callaghan ed. 1868) (prohibiting the sale of "munitions of War" to Indians "without express permission").

d. Laws disarming Slaves and free Blacks.

The by-now-familiar reasons for disarming Loyalists, Catholics, and Indians also motivated laws disarming Slaves and free Blacks as a class. Slaves, by definition, fell outside "the people" entitled to Second Amendment protection. E.g., Citizen, Samuel Johnson, A Dictionary of the English Language 297 (6th ed. 1785) ("A freeman of a city; not a foreigner; not a slave"). And "free blacks, like that of Tories and Roman Catholics, . . . were considered . . . non-citizens or, at best, second class citizens." Marshall, supra, at 726. At the time, they enjoyed any right to arms solely as a matter of legislative grace. See e.g., State v. Newsom, 27 N.C. 250, 254 (1844) (concluding that "free people of color cannot be considered as citizens in the largest sense of the term" and the state therefore has "the power to say . . . who, of this class of persons, shall have a right to a licence [to keep arms], or whether they shall"). "[T]he external danger of Indian attack[s]," moreover, "was consistently matched" by the "equivalent fear" (especially in the South) of "indentured servants and slaves as a class," Michael A. Bellesiles, Gun Laws in Early America: The Regulation of Firearms Ownership, 1607-1794, 16 Law & Hist. Rev. 567, 581 (1998)—hence why states like Virginia, Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina commonly justified disarming Blacks based on the threat of violence they posed as a collective group.¹³ See also Heller, 554 U.S. at 611-12, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (citing Waters v. State, 1 Gill 302, 309 (Md. 1843) for the proposition that "free blacks were treated as a 'dangerous population,' " prompting " 'laws . . . to prevent their migration into th[e] State; to make it unlawful for them to bear arms; [and] to guard even their religious assemblages with peculiar watchfulness' ").

13 See, e.g., 1752 Act of Va., 2 Statutes at Large, supra, at 481-82 ("Whereas the frequent meeting of considerable numbers of . . . slaves . . . is judged of dangerous consequence . . . it shall not be lawful[ ] for any . . . slave to carry or arm[ ] himself[ ] with any club, staff[ ], gun[ ] . . . or any other weapon."); 1770 Act of Ga., A Codification of the Statute Law of Georgia 813 (Hotchkiss ed. 1848) ("[A]s it is absolutely necessary to the safety of this province[ ] . . . to restrain the wandering and meeting of . . . slaves . . . it shall be lawful for any person . . . to apprehend any . . . slave . . . found out of the plantation . . . [and] if he . . . be armed . . . to disarm [him]."); 1740 Act of S.C., Statutes at Large of South Carolina 410 (McCord ed. 1840) (same); see also 1790 Act of N.C., A Manual of the Laws of North-Carolina 172 (Haywood ed. 1814) ("When any number of . . . slaves . . . shall collect together in arms . . . committing thefts and alarming the inhabitants of any county . . . it shall be the duty of commanding [militia] officer . . . to suppress[ ] such depredations or insurrections."); 12 Colonial Records of the State of Georgia 451-52 (Candler ed. 1907) (complaining of "a Number of Slaves appear[ing] in Arms . . . [and] commit[ting] great Outrages and plunder in and about the Town" and petitioning that "all Slaves . . . be immediately disarmed").

And as with every other historical analogue the Government relies on, laws disarming Blacks still allowed for certain case-specific exceptions. Virtually every law that we found contained exemptions for slaves who were armed but had in their possession a "ticket or license . . . from his or her master." 1768 Act of Ga., A Compilation of the General and Public Statutes of the State of Georgia 594 (Cobb ed. 1859). This was basically a certificate authorizing them to possess firearms for some limited purpose—usually to hunt and kill game.¹⁴ To be clear, the notion that Blacks as a class were equally entitled to the right to possess arms for self-defense arguably did not enter the public conscience until Reconstruction. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 60, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (surveying the "outpouring of discussion . . . [during Reconstruction regarding] whether and how to secure constitutional rights for newly free slaves"). But what these and other exemptions demonstrate is that categorical bans on certain groups possessing arms gave way when the justifications for disarming them no longer existed. The slave "carrying his master's arms to or from his . . . plantation" did not pose the same threat under the law as the slave who carried a gun after sundown. See, e.g., 1768 Act of Ga., A Compilation of the General and Public Statutes of the State of Georgia 594 (Cobb ed. 1859). The Massachusetts merchant in 1668 presumably could not sell arms to every Indian but he could sell to "Indians not in hostility with . . . any of the English." 1668 Act, Colonial Laws of Massachusetts 240-41 (1672) (emphasis added). The "Papist" in 1756 Virginia kept his arms if he swore allegiance to the protestant King George III, 1756 Act, 7 Statutes at Large, supra, at 35-36, because this proved his Catholic faith "was founded only upon [the] difference of [religious] opinion," not "the subversion of civil government," 5 Tucker's Blackstone, supra, at 54-55. And the British Loyalist in 1777 Connecticut was disarmed only "until such time as he could prove his friendliness to the liberal cause." Act of Dec. 1775, The Public Records of the Colony of Connecticut 193 (Hoadly ed. 1890).

14 1768 Act, A Compilation of the General and Public Statutes of the State of Georgia 594 (Cobb ed. 1859); 1741 Act, A Manual of the Laws of North-Carolina 157 (Haywood ed. 1814); 1748 Act of Va., 6 Statutes at Large 169 (Hening ed. 1819); 1722 Act, 7 Statutes at Large of South Carolina 373 (McCord ed. 1840).

§ 922(g)(1) has no analogous exceptions for the class it targets and thus "bears little resemblance" to the class-based firearm prohibitions "in effect at [or near] the time the Second Amendment was ratified." Cf. United States v. Booker, 644 F.3d 12, 24 (1st Cir. 2011). "[O]riginally intended to keep firearms out of the hands of violent" offenders, Greenlee, supra, at 274 (emphasis added), § 922(g)(1) is now far broader and far less case-specific than "its earlie[r] incarnation [codified] as the Federal Firearms Act of 1938," Booker, 644 F.3d at 24. Its predecessor "initially covered those convicted of a limited set of violent crimes such as murder, rape, kidnapping, and burglary." Id. In its present form, the law now "encompasses those who have committed any nonviolent felony or qualifying state-law misdemeanor"—an "immense and diverse category." Kanter, 919 F.3d at 466 (Barrett, J., dissenting); id. ("[Section 922(g)(1)] includes everything from . . . mail fraud, to selling pigs without a license in Massachusetts, redeeming large quantities of out-of-state bottle deposits in Michigan, and countless other state and federal offenses.")

In sum, the burdens and justifications (Bruen's "how" and "why") for laws disarming disfavored groups at the Founding are not "distinctly similar" to § 922(g)(1) to justify its blanket ban on non-violent felons possessing firearms. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("[C]ourts should not uphold every modern law that remotely resembles a historical analogue because doing so risk[s] endorsing outliers that our ancestors would never have accepted."). We turn now to the Government's final body of historical evidence.

3.

According to the Government, the Founding generation "would have understood" that the 18th-century felon had no right to possess a firearm because, historically, he faced death and total estate forfeiture for his crimes. Citing colonial and Founding era laws declaring miscellaneous offenses as either capital crimes or ones that resulted in civil forfeiture, the Government argues that these were the default penalties for committing a felony at that time. Since felons at the Founding were punished this harshly, the Government contends, it is consistent with our nation's history to disarm permanently the modern-day felon because that is far less severe a penalty. We reject this line of reasoning.

First, the history of punishing felonies at the Founding is far more nuanced than the Government lets on; the notion that all felons (violent and non-violent alike) were historically put to death or stripped of their estates is "shaky" to begin with. Kanter, 919 F.3d at 459 (Barrett J., dissenting). Founder James Wilson, for example, explained that while, in theory, "the idea of [a] felony [wa]s very generally . . . connected with capital punishment," in practice, this "inference[ ] . . . [wa]s by no means entitled the merit of critical accuracy." James Wilson's Lectures on Law Part 3, Chap. I (1791). In England, "few felonies, indeed, were punished with death." Id. And on this side of the Atlantic, a "felony" in late 18th-century America was likewise "a term of loose signification." THE FEDERALIST NO. 42 (James Madison). What counted as one, and how it was punished, was "not precisely the same in any two of the States; and varie[d] in each with every revision of its criminal laws." Id. As a result, there were "many felonies" on the books in the late 18th-and early 19th-century, "not one punished with forfeiture of estate, and but a very few with death."¹⁵ 6 Nathan Dane, Digest of American Law 715 (1823).

15 See, e.g., Act of Conn., Acts and Laws of the State of Connecticut 182-83 (1796) (listing various "felonies" but punishing only some capitally (e.g., bestiality, arson, bearing false witness) and others with a term of imprisonment (e.g., forgery, horse stealing, robbery)); General Laws of Pennsylvania, from the Year 1700 to April 22, 1846 155 (1847) (abolishing capital punishment for all crimes except first-degree murder); An Act to Prevent the Stealing and Taking away of Boats and Canoes, 1 The Laws of the Province of South Carolina 49 (1776) (punishing boat theft with "corporal punishment" and a fine "if the Matter of Fact be a Felony"); 1793 Act Respecting the Punishment of Criminals, 2 The Laws of Maryland chap. LVII, § XIII (1800) (empowering justices of the court to, "in their discretion," sentence males convicted of "[a]ny felony" "to serve and labour for any time[ ] . . . not exceeding seven years"); 1801 Act Declaring the Crimes Punishable with Death or Imprisonment in the State Prison, 1 The Laws of the State of New York 254 (1802) (committing any person "duly convicted . . . of any felony," with certain enumerated exceptions, to a "term [of imprisonment] not more than fourteen years."); See also 2 Timothy Cunningham, A New and Complete Law Dictionary (3d ed. 1783) (describing punishments for various felonies as ranging from death and estate forfeiture to imprisonment and hard labor).

Second, today's felon, in many respects, resembles nothing of his Founding-era counterpart, despite bearing the same label. Even as the newly formed states filled the pages of their penal codes with new felonies each passing year, "[t]he felony category" at the Founding still remained "a good deal narrower [then] than now." Lange v. California, — U.S. —, 141 S. Ct. 2011, 2023, 210 L.Ed.2d 486 (2021). The upshot is that "[m]any crimes classified as misdemeanors, or nonexistent, at common law are . . . felonies" today. Tennessee v. Garner, 471 U.S. 1, 14, 105 S.Ct. 1694, 85 L.Ed.2d 1 (1985). Indeed, at least one of Duarte's prior felonies—vandalism—almost certainly would have been a misdemeanor. United States v. Collins, 854 F.3d 1324, 1333 (11th Cir. 2017) (explaining "the closest common-law offense for damaging another's property" was "malicious mischief," which was punishable by a fine); see, e.g., Act of 1772, An Abridgment of the Laws of Pennsylvania 357 (Purdon ed. 1811) ("[A]ny person or persons [who] shall maliciously and voluntarily break . . . any brass or other knocker affixed to such door . . . [shall] pay the sum of twenty-five pounds.").

So not all felonies now were felonies then, and many felonies then were punishable by a term of years—not execution, civil forfeiture, or life in prison. Nevertheless, it may well be that "the 18th-and 19th-century" laws traditionally punishing certain felonies with death, estate forfeiture, or a life sentence are the closest things to "longstanding" felon firearm bans that Heller had in mind. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 1, 142 S.Ct. 2111; see also Phillips, 827 F.3d at 1174 n.1 (citing Chovan, 735 F.3d at 1144 (Bea, J., concurring)). We might then venture to "assume it settled that these" offenses were of a kind the Founding generation thought serious enough to warrant the permanent loss of the offender's Second Amendment right. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (emphasis added); see also id. ("[A]ssum[ing] it settled" that the "relatively few 18th-and 19th-century 'sensitive places' " (schools, polling places, courthouses, etc.) were "the[ ] locations . . . where arms carrying could be prohibited consistent with the Second Amendment."). And it would lastly stand to reason that we "c[ould] use . . . th[ese] historical regulations" as "analogies," id. at 31, 142 S.Ct. 2111, to "largely modern crimes" that may not "closely" resemble their historical counterparts but still share with them enough "relevant[ ] similar[ities]" to justify permanent disarmament for committing such new-age offenses, see Alaniz, 69 F.4th at 1129-30 (emphasis added) ("Like burglary or robbery, [modern-day] drug trafficking plainly poses substantial risks of confrontation that can lead to immediate violence.").

That would all seem to be in step with Bruen. Yet the Government would have us go much further. We are asked to hold that "Congress[ ] . . . [can] define any . . . crime as a felony and thereby use it as the basis for a § 922(g)(1) conviction." Phillips, 827 F.3d at 1176 n.5 (emphasis added).

This, in our view, "expand[s]" the historical felony category "far too broadly." Bruen, 597 U.S. at 31, 142 S.Ct. 2111. "Put simply, there is no historical basis" for Congress "to effectively declare" that committing "a[ny] crime punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year," § 922(g)(1), will result in permanent loss of one's Second Amendment right "simply because" that is how we define a felony today, Bruen, 597 U.S. at 31, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("New York [cannot] . . . declare the island of Manhattan a 'sensitive place' simply because it is crowded and protected generally by the New York City Police Department."); see also Folajtar, 980 F.3d at 912 (Bibas, J., dissenting) ("The majority's extreme deference gives legislatures unreviewable power to manipulate the Second Amendment by choosing a label."). To accept the Government's position would "in effect exempt" from Second Amendment protection entire categories of people whose crimes were misdemeanors or did not exist at the Founding. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 30, 142 S.Ct. 2111. As one commentator put it, "someone who shoplifts three times in seven years [in West Virginia] . . . twice operates a recording device in a movie theater [in Utah] . . . [or] release[s] a dozen heart-shaped balloons [as] a romantic gesture [in Florida]" will earn a lifetime ban on possessing a firearm under § 922(g)(1) because it is apparently a felony to do any of those things in those respective states. Greenlee, supra, at 269 (citations omitted). That, in our view, is a bridge too far.

A more faithful application of Bruen requires the Government to proffer Founding-era felony analogues that are "distinctly similar" to Duarte's underlying offenses and would have been punishable either with execution, with life in prison, or permanent forfeiture of the offender's estate. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 27, 142 S.Ct. 2111. Our pre-Bruen decision in Phillips largely endorsed this approach. After "assuming the propriety of felon firearm bans," as Vongxay required, we still canvassed the history to determine whether "Phillips's predicate conviction for misprision of felony c[ould] constitutionally serve as the basis for a felon ban" under § 922(g)(1). Phillips, 827 F.3d at 1175. "[T]here [w]as little question" that it could, we explained, because the Founding generation had labelled Phillips's crime a "felony" ever since the First Congress passed the Crime Act of 1790. See id. at 1175-76 (citing 1 Stat. 113, Sec. 6). True, we did not ask whether misprison of felony was a capital or life-sentence offense back then. But this was only because Bruen had not yet clarified that "how" a historical analogue burdens a Second Amendment right is a "central consideration[ ]" that courts must weigh when reviewing the history. Bruen, 597 U.S. at 29, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (citations omitted). With that minor tweak, our approach today conforms with both Phillips and Bruen.

Here, Duarte's underlying vandalism conviction, we have explained, likely would have made him a misdemeanant at the Founding. See infra at 689. Duarte's second predicate offense—felon in possession of a firearm, Cal. Pen. Code § 29800(a)(1)—was a nonexistent crime in this country until the passage of the Federal Firearms Act of 1938. See Range, 69 F.4th at 104. As for Duarte's remaining convictions—drug possession and evading a peace officer—we do not know whether either crime traces back to an analogous, Founding-era predecessor because the Government failed to proffer that evidence.¹⁶ Based on this record, we cannot say that Duarte's predicate offenses were, by Founding era standards, of a nature serious enough to justify permanently depriving him of his fundamental Second Amendment rights. The Government therefore failed to demonstrate that applying § 922(g)(1)'s lifetime firearm ban to Duarte fits within any "longstanding" tradition of "prohibit[ing] . . . the possession of firearms by felons." Heller, 554 U.S. at 626, 128 S.Ct. 2783.

16 Criminalizing drug possession, in particular, did not appear to gain significant momentum until the early 20th century, with the passage of such laws as the Food and Drug Act of 1906 and the Harrison Narcotics Tax Act of 1914. See Margarita Mercado Echegaray, Note, Drug Prohibition in America: Federal Drug Policy and its Consequences 75 Rev. Jur. U.P.R. 1215, 1219 (2006); cf. Alaniz, 69 F.4th at 1129-30 (citing id.). Before then, what we now think of as "illicit drugs," such as opium and cocaine, "were . . . legal in the United States" for a long stretch of this country's history. Echegaray, supra, at 1218.

IV.

We do not base our decision on the notion that felons should not be prohibited from possessing firearms. As a matter of policy, § 922(g)(1) may make a great deal of sense. But "[t]he very enumeration of the [Second Amendment] right" in our Constitution "takes out of [our] hands . . . the power to decide" for which Americans "th[at] right is really worth insisting upon." Heller, 554 U.S. at 634, 128 S.Ct. 2783 (emphasis added).

Duarte is an American citizen, and thus one of "the people" whom the Second Amendment protects. The Second Amendment's plain text and historically understood meaning therefore presumptively guarantee his individual right to possess a firearm for self-defense. The Government failed to rebut that presumption by demonstrating that permanently depriving Duarte of this fundamental right is otherwise consistent with our Nation's history. We therefore hold that § 922(g)(1) violates Duarte's Second Amendment rights and is unconstitutional as applied to him.

REVERSED; CONVICTION VACATED.

M. SMITH, Circuit Judge, dissenting:

Whether felons have a Second Amendment right to bear arms is settled in our circuit. They do not. United States v. Vongxay, 594 F.3d 1111, 1115 (9th Cir. 2010). Until an intervening higher authority that is clearly irreconcilable with Vongxay is handed down, we, as a three-judge panel, are bound by that decision. See Miller v. Gammie, 335 F.3d 889, 893 (9th Cir. 2003).

The Supreme Court's decision in New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass'n, Inc. v. Bruen, 597 U.S. 1, 142 S.Ct. 2111, 213 L.Ed.2d 387 (2022), did not overrule Vongxay. Instead, Bruen reiterates that the Second Amendment right belongs only to law-abiding citizens. Duarte's Second Amendment challenge to 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1), as applied to nonviolent offenders, is therefore foreclosed. Accordingly, I respectfully dissent.

* * *

In Vongxay, we held that § 922(g)(1) does not violate the Second Amendment as applied to persons with nonviolent felony convictions. See 594 F.3d at 1118. There, the defendant (Vongxay) had three previous, nonviolent felony convictions: two for car burglary and one for drug possession. Id. at 1114. He was charged and convicted under § 922(g)(1) after a police officer found a firearm on his person outside a nightclub. Id. at 1113-14. Vongxay challenged his conviction on Second Amendment grounds, arguing that § 922(g)(1) "unconstitutionally limits firearm possession by categories of people who have not been deemed dangerous." Id. at 1116 (internal quotation marks omitted). We affirmed his conviction, holding that nothing in District of Columbia v. Heller, 554 U.S. 570, 128 S.Ct. 2783, 171 L.Ed.2d 637 (2008), "can be read legitimately to cast doubt on the constitutionality of § 922(g)(1)" and that felons are "categorically different from the individuals who have a fundamental right to bear arms." Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1114-15. Duarte does not dispute that Vongxay is on point.

In our circuit, a decision of a prior three-judge panel is controlling until a superseding ruling comes from the Supreme Court or a panel of our court sitting en banc. See Miller, 335 F.3d at 893, 899-900. "[T]he issues decided by the higher court need not be identical in order to be controlling. Rather, the relevant court of last resort must have undercut the theory or reasoning underlying the prior circuit precedent in such a way that the cases are clearly irreconcilable." Id. at 900. When the two authorities are "clearly irreconcilable," we consider ourselves "bound by the intervening higher authority and reject the prior opinion of this court as having been effectively overruled." Id. The "clearly irreconcilable" requirement is "a high standard." Rodriguez v. AT & T Mobility Servs. LLC, 728 F.3d 975, 979 (9th Cir. 2013) (internal quotation marks omitted). "It is not enough for there to be 'some tension' between the intervening higher authority and prior circuit precedent, or for the intervening higher authority to 'cast doubt' on the prior circuit precedent." Lair v. Bullock, 697 F.3d 1200, 1207 (9th Cir. 2012) (quoting United States v. Orm Hieng, 679 F.3d 1131, 1140-41 (9th Cir. 2012), and United States v. Delgado-Ramos, 635 F.3d 1237, 1239 (9th Cir. 2011) (per curiam)). "In order for us to ignore existing Ninth Circuit precedent . . . the reasoning and principles of [the later authority] would need to be so fundamentally inconsistent with our prior cases that our prior cases cannot stand." In re Gilman, 887 F.3d 956, 962 (9th Cir. 2018). But if we "can apply our prior circuit precedent without running afoul of the intervening authority, we must do so." Lair, 697 F.3d at 1207 (internal quotations marks omitted).

Nothing in the Supreme Court's decision in Bruen reflects a retreat from the Court's earlier statement in Heller that "longstanding prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill" are "presumptively lawful." Heller, 554 U.S. at 626, 627 n.26, 128 S.Ct. 2783; see also McDonald v. Chicago, 561 U.S. 742, 786, 130 S.Ct. 3020, 177 L.Ed.2d 894 (2010) (plurality) (noting that the Court "made it clear in Heller that [its] holding did not cast doubt on such longstanding regulatory measures as 'prohibitions on the possession of firearms by felons and the mentally ill' " and that the Court "repeat[s] those assurances here" (citation omitted)). To the contrary, Bruen's analysis implicitly acknowledged Heller's exclusion of felons from "the people" protected by the Second Amendment. See 597 U.S. at 31-32, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("It is undisputed that petitioners Koch and Nash—two ordinary, law-abiding, adult citizens—are part of 'the people' whom the Second Amendment protects." (emphasis added) (citing Heller, 554 U.S. at 580, 128 S.Ct. 2783)); see also, e.g., Heller, 554 U.S. at 635, 128 S.Ct. 2783 ("law-abiding, responsible citizens"). Indeed, Bruen repeatedly limited its definition of the scope of the right to "law-abiding" citizens, using that phrase no fewer than fourteen times throughout the opinion. See 597 U.S. at 9, 15, 26, 29-31, 33 n.8, 38 & n.9, 60, 70-71, 142 S.Ct. 2111.¹⁷

17 The majority does "not think that the Supreme Court, without any textual or historical analysis of the Second Amendment, intended to decide the constitutional fate of so large a population in so few words and with such little guidance." But any doubt or ambiguity on this issue cuts in favor of following circuit precedent. It is Duarte's burden to show that Vongxay is "clearly irreconcilable" with Bruen.

Two of the Justices whose concurrences were essential to the judgment cabined the scope of Bruen on this very point. Justice Kavanaugh, joined by Chief Justice Roberts, wrote separately to "underscore two important points about the limits of the Court's decision." Id. at 79, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (Kavanaugh, J., joined by Roberts, C.J., concurring). His second point is germane here: "[A]s Heller and McDonald established and the Court today again explains, the Second Amendment is neither a regulatory straightjacket nor a regulatory blank check. Properly interpreted, the Second Amendment allows a variety of gun regulations." Id. (Kavanaugh, J., joined by Roberts, C.J., concurring) (cleaned up). Justice Kavanaugh then reiterated Heller's and McDonald's statements that a "prohibition[ ] on the possession of firearms by felons" is "presumptively lawful." See id. at 81, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (Kavanaugh, J., joined by Roberts, C.J., concurring) (citations omitted).

Justice Alito added in a separate concurrence that Bruen did not "disturb[ ] anything that [the Court] said in Heller or McDonald about restrictions that may be imposed on the possession or carrying of guns." Id. at 72, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (Alito, J., concurring) (cleaned up). He made clear: "All that we decide in this case is that the Second Amendment protects the right of law-abiding people to carry a gun outside the home for self-defense." Id. at 76, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (Alito, J., concurring) (emphasis added).

Thus, Bruen did nothing to upend our decision in Vongxay. Bruen was a Second Amendment challenge to New York's gun licensing regime, not the felon-in-possession statute at issue in Vongxay; Bruen repeatedly emphasized that it only extended the Second Amendment right to "law-abiding citizens," a phrase it used, as noted, no fewer than fourteen times; and three Justices in the Bruen majority reiterated, unequivocally, that a prohibition on the possession of firearms by felons is presumptively lawful.¹⁸ The two decisions are harmonious.

18 The majority claims that the Supreme Court did not even suggest in Heller or Bruen that felons are not among "the people" within the meaning of the Second Amendment, quoting our recent decision in United States v. Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th 1166, 1175 (9th Cir. 2024). But Perez-Garcia itself notes that "when the Supreme Court specifically analyzed limitations on the scope of the Second Amendment's protections, Heller described the Second Amendment right as belonging to 'law-abiding, responsible citizens,' " that "Bruen, in turn, used the term 'law-abiding, responsible citizens' and its variants more than a dozen times when describing the Second Amendment's scope," and that the Bruen "concurrences reiterated the same point." Perez-Garcia, 96 F.4th at 1179 (cleaned up).

Moreover, Vongxay's mode of analysis is not clearly inconsistent with that in Heller. Vongxay is a post-Heller decision that considered, inter alia, the historical scope of the Second Amendment.¹⁹ See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 22, 142 S.Ct. 2111 ("Heller relied on text and history."); Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1118. We did not reference, let alone employ, the "means-end" scrutiny that Bruen rejected. See Bruen, 597 U.S. at 19, 142 S.Ct. 2111; Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1114-18. That we cited United States v. Everist, 368 F.3d 517, 519 (5th Cir. 2004), and United States v. Emerson, 270 F.3d 203, 260 (5th Cir. 2001), does not suggest otherwise. See Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1116-17. Rather, we cited these Fifth Circuit cases merely as examples from our "examination of cases from other circuits and of historical gun restrictions [that] lends credence to the post-Heller viability of" United States v. Younger, 398 F.3d 1179, 1192 (9th Cir. 2005), in which we held that § 922(g)(1) is constitutional. Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1116. We did not adopt their mode of analysis.

19 We noted the following:

Finally, we observe that most scholars of the Second Amendment agree that the right to bear arms was "inextricably . . . tied to" the concept of a "virtuous citizen[ry]" that would protect society through "defensive use of arms against criminals, oppressive officials, and foreign enemies alike,' and that 'the right to bear arms does not preclude laws disarming the unvirtuous citizens (i.e. criminals) . . . ." Don B. Kates, Jr., The Second Amendment: A Dialogue, 49 Law & Contemp. Probs. 143, 146 (1986); see also Glenn Harlan Reynolds, A Critical Guide to the Second Amendment, 62 Tenn. L. Rev. 461, 480 (1995) (noting that felons "were excluded from the right to arms" because they were "deemed incapable of virtue"). We recognize, however, that the historical question has not been definitively resolved. See C. Kevin Marshall, Why Can't Martha Stewart Have a Gun?, 32 Harv. J.L. & Pub. Pol'y 695, 714-28 (2009) (maintaining that bans on felon gun possession are neither long-standing nor supported by common law in the founding era).

Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1118.

For the reasons noted, Duarte fails to meet the "high standard" of Miller. See Rodriguez, 728 F.3d at 979. Vongxay is neither "clearly irreconcilable" nor "so fundamentally inconsistent" with Bruen that we must reject our precedent. See Miller, 335 F.3d at 900; In re Gilman, 887 F.3d at 962. To conclude otherwise is to read Bruen more broadly than, at a minimum, Chief Justice Roberts, Justice Alito, and Justice Kavanaugh intended. The Bruen majority did not fashion an entirely new Second Amendment test, instead stressing that it was applying the same "test that [the Court] set forth in Heller." 597 U.S. at 26, 142 S.Ct. 2111. Bruen rejected only "means-end scrutiny," which, again, is a mode of analysis Vongxay did not employ. See id. at 24, 26, 142 S.Ct. 2111. We are thus bound by our holding in Vongxay: § 922(g)(1) does not violate the Second Amendment as it applies to nonviolent felons. See 594 F.3d at 1118. Duarte's challenge is foreclosed, and no further inquiry is necessary.

The majority errs by discarding Vongxay and conducting the Second Amendment analysis of § 922(g)(1) anew. First, the majority contends that Vongxay is "clearly irreconcilable" with Bruen because of "Vongxay's wholesale omission of Bruen's two-step methodology." That is, we are no longer bound by Vongxay because "Vongxay did not follow the textually and historically focused 'mode of analysis' that Bruen established and required courts now to apply to all Second Amendment challenges."

The majority appears to suggest that Vongxay's failure to apply the two-step framework set forth in Bruen is alone sufficient to render the decision null. But that view is not supported by Miller or its progeny. The Miller analysis focuses on the "theory" and "reasoning" underlying the decisions; the analysis turns on function, not form. See Miller, 335 F.3d at 900. Yet, the majority states: "Because Bruen had not yet clarified these particular analytical steps until after Vongxay was decided, Vongxay, predictably, failed to apply them" (cleaned up), citing our decision in United States v. Slade, 873 F.3d 712, 715 (9th Cir. 2017). Slade does not stand for such formalism. In Slade, we held that our decision in United States v. Jennen, 596 F.3d 594 (9th Cir. 2010), was clearly irreconcilable with later Supreme Court precedent because Jennen based its analysis on an implicit assumption that the Supreme Court thereafter expressly denounced. See Slade, 873 F.3d at 715. It was not the mere failure to consider "the analytical process [later] prescribed by [the Supreme Court]" that made the two decisions clearly irreconcilable but rather Jennen's incorrect legal assumption. See id. The circumstances here are different. We did not merely assume in Vongxay that a felon was excluded from "the people" whom the Second Amendment protects, nor did the Supreme Court expressly reject that view in Bruen (in fact, again, it implicitly endorsed the view). Slade is therefore inapposite, as are the other authorities cited by the majority on this issue. See, e.g., United States v. Baldon, 956 F.3d 1115, 1121 (9th Cir. 2020) (prior precedent rested on analytical distinction between "substantial" and "minimal" force rebuffed by intervening authority); Swift v. California, 384 F.3d 1184, 1190 (9th Cir. 2004) (prior precedent applied "relates to" test that Supreme Court later expressly overruled). Under Miller, the creation of a new test does not per se invalidate prior precedent.

Second, the majority contends that "Vongxay's reliance on Younger is . . . 'clearly irreconcilable' with Bruen—separate and apart from Vongxay's failure to apply Bruen's methodology." But Vongxay did not improperly rely on cases holding that the Second Amendment protected a collective rather than individual right. Vongxay was decided after Heller and recognized that Heller "invalidated" this court's pre-Heller caselaw holding that the Second Amendment did not protect an individual right. 594 F.3d at 1116. We cited Silveira v. Lockyer, 312 F.3d 1052 (9th Cir. 2002), only to explain its pre-Heller precedent and cited Younger, 398 F.3d at 1192, for its holding: "that § 922(g)(1) does not violate the Second Amendment rights of a convicted felon." Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1116. That holding was correct—even if, as Vongxay acknowledged, the reasoning was wrong. We then explained why Heller did not disturb that holding. Id. at 1116-18.

Indeed, in a case decided six years after Vongxay, we expressly rejected the argument that Vongxay somehow invalidated itself by citing pre-Heller precedent:

Phillips argues that Vongxay is not good law. He contends that it conflicted with circuit precedent when it relied, in part, on United States v. Younger, 398 F.3d 1179 (9th Cir. 2005), a pre-Heller case that held that there is no individual right to bear arms under the Second Amendment. See Vongxay, 594 F.3d at 1116.

But Vongxay acknowledged Heller's holding—that there is an individual right under the Second Amendment—notwithstanding the panel's assertion that it was "still bound by Younger." Id. . . .

If the panel had truly considered itself bound by Younger in all respects, it would not have analyzed the Second Amendment question at all, since there would have been no claim to an individual right. If Phillips believes that Vongxay is inconsistent with Heller, his remedy in this court is to seek rehearing en banc.

United States v. Phillips, 827 F.3d 1171, 1174 n.1 (9th Cir. 2016). Since the majority's theory here is identical to the argument rejected in Phillips (except referencing Bruen, rather than Heller), it is foreclosed.

The "clearly irreconcilable" requirement of Miller is a "high standard." Rodriguez, 728 F.3d at 979. As long as we "can apply our prior circuit precedent without running afoul of the intervening authority, we must do so." Lair, 697 F.3d at 1207. For the reasons noted, we can easily do so here. Nevertheless, the majority engages in a de novo Second Amendment analysis of § 922(g)(1). Had Bruen, for example, redefined the meaning of "the people" under the Second Amendment, such a review may indeed be necessary. But Bruen did not do so. The scope of "the people" is the same now under Bruen, as it was under Vongxay, as it was under Heller. Felons are excluded from the right to keep and bear arms.

* * *

The majority reads Bruen, a Supreme Court decision reviewing New York's gun licensing regime, as an invitation to uproot a longstanding prohibition on the possession of firearms by felons. Bruen extends no such invitation. As Justice Alito cautioned, Bruen decides "nothing about who may lawfully possess a firearm." Bruen, 597 U.S. at 72, 142 S.Ct. 2111 (emphasis added).

One day—likely sooner, rather than later—the Supreme Court will address the constitutionality of § 922(g)(1) or otherwise provide clearer guidance on whether felons are protected by the Second Amendment. But it is not our role as circuit judges to anticipate how the Supreme Court will decide future cases. See United States v. Osife, 398 F.3d 1143, 1148 (9th Cir. 2005) ("As the Supreme Court has explained, when there is clearly controlling precedent, circuit courts are not to anticipate the direction in which the Court's jurisprudence is moving."), abrogated on other grounds by Arizona v. Gant, 556 U.S. 332, 129 S.Ct. 1710, 173 L.Ed.2d 485 (2009); Tekoh v. Cnty. of Los Angeles, 997 F.3d 1260, 1263 (9th Cir. 2021) (Miller, J., concurring in the denial of rehearing en banc) ("[M]aking such predictions is the role of academics and journalists, not circuit judges. Our duty is to follow what the Supreme Court has done, not forecast what it might do."). Until we receive contrary definitive guidance from the Supreme Court, or from a panel of our court sitting en banc, we are bound by our decision in Vongxay.

I respectfully dissent and express the hope that our court will rehear this case en banc to correct the majority's misapplication of Bruen.